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Prediction markets for Hold

How many seats will the Democrats hold in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 Midterm Election?

Apr 2, 12:16 AMJan 4, 11:59 PM

120327523

OptionProbability

56

Other

55

44

45

46

47

48

49

50

51

52

53

54

96

2

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Alcatraz holds ten federal inmates for one week before January 20, 2029?

May 4, 11:58 PMJan 19, 11:59 PM

8.4%chance

11746291

OptionVotes

YES

NO

33053

3031

Will Vivek Ramaswamy Hold an Official Position in Trump’s White House?

Dec 27, 8:23 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM

9.46%chance

18242842

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7423

1007

Will the U.S. Supreme Court hold Trump or a member of his Cabinet in contempt?

Apr 28, 7:36 PMFeb 28, 8:36 PM

7.4%chance

2928884

OptionVotes

YES

NO

35379

2827

Will this Yudkowsky tweet on AI babysitters hold up by Feb 2028?

Feb 21, 6:53 PMFeb 22, 5:59 AM

23.29%chance

11715930

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2099

576

Will this Richard Hanania article on trans ideology hold up?

Oct 6, 4:51 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

73.61%chance

6913547

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1659

197

Will Quebec hold a referendum on independence from Canada before the end of 2029?

Apr 5, 5:30 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.02%chance

6713460

OptionVotes

YES

NO

11406

5078

If Trump is re-elected in 2024, will he try to hold onto power after 2028?

Jan 10, 7:45 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

28.7%chance

261864

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1013

926

Will this tweet hold up: Sinners will be — should be — a Broadway show by 2035

Mar 16, 4:25 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

38.72%chance

81627

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7353

4926

Will Sam Altman and Dario Amodei hold hands again, before 2030?

Feb 19, 6:08 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

63.6%chance

18973

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1322

756

Will Trump's tariffs using Section 338 hold

Jul 21, 10:03 PMJan 19, 11:59 PM

21.66%chance

319

OptionVotes

NO

YES

102

92

Which degrees/certifications will RY hold in 7 years?

Nov 24, 12:53 AMDec 1, 4:59 AM

00

OptionProbability

Any PhD

Rabbinical smicha

JD

50

50

50

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