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Prediction markets for Hold

Will Jerome Powell cease to hold the office of Chair of the Federal Reserve before 2026?

Jan 22, 11:16 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

1.15%chance

316855132

OptionVotes

YES

NO

119785

2471

Will this Yudkowsky tweet hold up?

Aug 29, 5:06 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

96.01%chance

618654303

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4601

719

What party will hold the House of Representatives after the 2026 midterms

Dec 12, 2:00 PMNov 15, 4:59 AM

132196582

OptionProbability

Democrats

Republicans

80

20

Will Gavin Baker's forecast that it'll be abjectly humiliating for everyone who is a Tesla FSD skeptic hold?

Aug 27, 8:13 PMFeb 2, 2:59 AM

5653619

OptionProbability

18-months (27th Jan 2026)

6 months (27th Jan 2025)

12 months (27th Aug 2025)

11

0

0

Will Vivek Ramaswamy Hold an Official Position in Trump’s White House?

Dec 27, 8:23 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM

9.85%chance

17541523

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7241

1026

Alcatraz holds ten federal inmates for one week before January 20, 2029?

May 4, 11:58 PMJan 19, 11:59 PM

10.14%chance

11337948

OptionVotes

YES

NO

29769

3359

Will the U.S. Supreme Court hold Trump or a member of his Cabinet in contempt?

Apr 28, 7:36 PMFeb 28, 8:36 PM

10.84%chance

2221326

OptionVotes

YES

NO

28677

3487

Will Greenland hold an independence referendum in 2025?

Jan 27, 8:50 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

5%chance

4210063

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4359

229

How many seats will the Democrats hold in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 Midterm Election?

Apr 2, 12:16 AMJan 4, 11:59 PM

235606

OptionProbability

49

48

50

51

52

Other

47

44

45

46

17

16

14

13

10

10

8

4

4

4

If Trump is re-elected in 2024, will he try to hold onto power after 2028?

Jan 10, 7:45 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

28.7%chance

261864

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1013

926

Will this tweet hold up: I think you guys need to mentally prepare yourselves for Sinners not winning a single thing

Oct 20, 3:48 PMMar 15, 3:36 PM

37.58%chance

161530

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1730

1308

Which degrees/certifications will RY hold in 7 years?

Nov 24, 12:53 AMDec 1, 4:59 AM

00

OptionProbability

Any PhD

Rabbinical smicha

JD

50

50

50

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