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Prediction markets for Hold from Buy
Will Jim Fund's assets be worth more than $20,000,000 on Jan1'29
Nov 18, 5:55 AMNov 7, 10:59 AM
21.15%chance
920640
OptionVotes
15064
108
Will the US acquire new territory during Trump’s second term?
Dec 24, 11:52 PMJan 21, 6:59 AM
18%chance
5710919
OptionVotes
2196
482
Will Elon Musk's investment in Twitter beat the NASDAQ?
Nov 20, 8:16 PMDec 31, 10:00 PM
14.07%chance
263860
OptionVotes
2062
669
OptionProbability
742
384
Will Trump kill or neuter Vox or The Atlantic during his term?
Jan 16, 5:09 PMJan 20, 10:59 PM
13.4%chance
153312
OptionVotes
2542
393
OptionProbability
588
418
OptionVotes
1777
563
Will any American state start a transgender suppression program by 2033?
May 3, 5:03 PMJan 3, 10:59 PM
53.02%chance
442859
OptionVotes
1116
821
Will Elon get margin called on the loans he took against his Tesla holdings to buy Twitter?
Mar 29, 12:47 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
5%chance
16826
OptionVotes
436
23
Robo-Palanquin - human-carrying robot available by mid 2034
May 21, 8:44 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM
47.95%chance
5350
OptionVotes
1042
960
Polymarket exceeds $10B monthly trading volume in Dec 2027?
Nov 20, 4:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
38.71%chance
5262
OptionVotes
126
79
Will Matt Levine write about "a buy-and-hold prediction-markets exchange-traded fund" before 2026-11-07?
Nov 8, 10:09 PMNov 8, 7:59 AM
52.44%chance
150
OptionVotes
1050
952