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Prediction markets for Hollywood

Will any major Hollywood film released before 2027 be entirely AI-generated?

Mar 19, 5:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.14%chance

293641

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2977

336

Will Siberian Node’s generative pipeline render traditional Hollywood studio production obsolete by the end of 2026?

Apr 20, 12:00 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.11%chance

202774

OptionVotes

YES

NO

483

21

A major hollywood movie about Covid comes out portraying the CCP negatively before 2035

May 2, 5:59 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

63.1%chance

432049

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1093

928

Will Manifold be mentioned in a mainstream Hollywood movie before 2030?

Apr 20, 11:29 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.47%chance

251187

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1435

929

What year will Hollywood release the Iran F-15E rescue mission movie?

Apr 6, 9:14 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

81048

OptionProbability

No Movie by 1 Jan 2036

2028

2029

2030 to 2035

2027

2026

22

19

19

19

15

6

Will Hollywood release an Iran F-15E rescue mission movie by the end of 2029?

Apr 8, 11:24 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

47.6%chance

5428

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1298

572

Will video-creating AIs make Hollywood movies significantly cheaper to make by 2033?

Apr 30, 1:00 PMApr 30, 10:59 PM

76.98%chance

14345

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1036

784

Hollywood American Revolution film box office top 10 by July 4, 2076?

Jul 30, 8:39 AMJul 4, 10:59 PM

27.2%chance

11181

OptionVotes

YES

NO

164

61

Will Leonardo Di Caprio get a star on the Hollywood Walk of Fame by EOY 2030?

Mar 10, 6:10 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

70.83%chance

11143

OptionVotes

NO

YES

300

172

Will Clint Eastwood get a star on the Hollywood Walk of Fame by EOY 2030?

Mar 10, 6:09 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

63.84%chance

10123

OptionVotes

NO

YES

270

183

Will Robert De Niro get a star on the Hollywood Walk of Fame by EOY 2030?

Mar 10, 6:10 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

65.33%chance

8109

OptionVotes

NO

YES

282

209

Will Al Pacino get a star on the Hollywood Walk of Fame by EOY 2030?

Mar 10, 6:10 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

61.59%chance

230

OptionVotes

NO

YES

170

117

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