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Prediction markets for Hollywood Reporter

Will the Kendrick Lamar/South Park movie get a U.S. theatrical release date announced in 2026?

Jun 24, 10:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.32%chance

3532173

OptionVotes

YES

NO

17781

14066

Will Siberian Node’s generative pipeline render traditional Hollywood studio production obsolete by the end of 2026?

Apr 20, 12:00 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.11%chance

202774

OptionVotes

YES

NO

483

21

Will an AI-generated movie hit Netflix Top 10 in 2026?

May 18, 6:29 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

92488

OptionProbability

No AI-generated movie will hit the Top 10 in 2026

Yes, in Q4 2026

Yes, in Q2 2026

Yes, in Q3 2026

93

3

2

2

Mistborn/Stormlight Archive TV show/movie begins filming by EOY 2028?

Jan 28, 10:37 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.1%chance

9385

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1104

744

Will a streaming series not from HBO win Best Drama Series at the 2026 Emmys?

Dec 25, 5:18 PMSep 15, 3:59 AM

18.43%chance

7260

OptionVotes

YES

NO

210

48

Will Timothee Chalamet and Kylie Jenner announce their engagement before 2027?

May 15, 11:10 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

34.25%chance

8159

OptionVotes

YES

NO

139

72

Will 50 Cent make another documentary about Diddy/Other celebrities?

Jan 10, 7:59 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

29.93%chance

6152

OptionVotes

YES

NO

245

169

Which movie will be released first?

Jan 23, 11:29 AMDec 31, 11:26 AM

5130

OptionProbability

Five Nights At Freddy's 3

Mamma Mia! 3

Top Gun 3

Zootopia 3

Other

56

17

14

7

7

Will Minimax-H3 become unavailable on HuggingFace in any state in the US before 2027?

Aug 5, 5:39 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30.54%chance

7111

OptionVotes

YES

NO

156

17

Will there be an "Avengers: Secret Wars part 2" movie?

Jan 26, 2:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

37.64%chance

575

OptionVotes

YES

NO

129

78

When will a third Top Gun movie be released?

Oct 21, 6:43 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

468

OptionProbability

2031

2028

2029

2030

Other

2032

2033

23

14

14

14

14

12

8

Now WildBrain buys Aardman in 2029

Feb 10, 3:19 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

54.75%chance

110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

110

91

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