OptionProbability
Acquisition (for >$4.5bn)
IPO
None of the above before 2029
Bankruptcy, collapse or acquisition for <$4.5bn
49
27
13
10
OptionVotes
YES
NO
1832
546
In 2030 or earlier
In 2029 or earlier
In 2028 or earlier
In 2027 or earlier
In 2026 or earlier
In 2024
In 2025 or earlier
73
68
65
63
60
0
1015
921
246
41
Other
Gpt-4 passes the bar exam
Accurate structure prediction of biomolecular interactions with AlphaFold 3
HuggingGPT: Solving ai tasks with chatgpt and its friends in hugging face
Lima: Less is more for alignment
Autoregressive Image Generation without Vector Quantization
43
25
12
9
3
130
1
Jan 1, 2027 to April 30, 2027
May 1, 2027 to August 31, 2027
September 1, 2027 or later
Before Jan 1, 2027
18