OptionProbability
Acquisition (for >$4.5bn)
IPO
None of the above before 2029
Bankruptcy, collapse or acquisition for <$4.5bn
49
28
13
11
OptionVotes
YES
NO
1832
546
In 2030 or earlier
In 2029 or earlier
In 2028 or earlier
In 2027 or earlier
In 2026 or earlier
In 2024
In 2025 or earlier
73
68
65
63
60
0
1009
940
Other
Gpt-4 passes the bar exam
Autoregressive Image Generation without Vector Quantization
Accurate structure prediction of biomolecular interactions with AlphaFold 3
HuggingGPT: Solving ai tasks with chatgpt and its friends in hugging face
Lima: Less is more for alignment
35
20
10
8
123
81
