HUMA News

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030?

May 5, 11:03 AMJan 2, 1:16 AM

4%chance

10847145904

OptionVotes

YES

8555

2023

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2100

Feb 4, 10:54 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

13.76%chance

8034170194

OptionVotes

YES

3529

1819

Will Andrew Tate be found guilty of human (sex) trafficking in Romania?

Dec 30, 3:16 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

63.64%chance

34402754093

OptionVotes

YES

12404

7868

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2040?

Mar 11, 5:11 PMJan 2, 10:00 AM

8%chance

4661715838

OptionVotes

YES

4920

1798

Will AI wipe out humanity by 2030? [resolves N/A in 2027]

Jul 28, 5:46 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

12.26%chance

321858480

OptionVotes

YES

6979

3610

In 2028, will an AI be able to play randomly selected computer games at human level without getting to practice?

Feb 20, 10:45 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

51.59%chance

472396309

OptionVotes

YES

3236

1913

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2060?

Feb 26, 6:16 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

12.09%chance

201282138

OptionVotes

YES

4175

1332

Will there be a "large-scale bird flu outbreak" (100+ human confirmed H5N1 cases) in the US by the end of 2025?

Mar 26, 2:00 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

5.12%chance

225189797

OptionVotes

YES

44466

1857

Will Elon Musk be alive on the day a human walks on Mars?

Mar 23, 7:19 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

50.63%chance

432109670

OptionVotes

YES

11029

10692

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2029?

May 22, 9:40 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

1%chance

7739798

OptionVotes

YES

14685

934

If AI wipes out humanity, what will it make of the universe?

Jul 2, 11:23 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

71040

OptionProbability

Other "loud" outcome

non-hedonic utilitronium

Orgasmium

Matrioshka brains to simulate zillions of ems

initiate vacuum collapse

It will be "quiet" and not significantly alter the rest of the universe.

Paperclips or widgets

Matrioshka brains to simulate torture of everyone who didn't help create it

Literal rats on literal heroin

Wait till carbon white dwarfs cool enough to turn to diamond and then cut them into cool shapes

Will it be possible to create a human embryo through an API by 2050?

Jun 14, 1:40 AMDec 1, 5:59 AM

35.35%chance

7876

OptionVotes

YES

10313

9761

HUMA News

Prediction markets for HUMA

Prediction markets for HUMA

Prediction markets for HUMA

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030?

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2100

Will Andrew Tate be found guilty of human (sex) trafficking in Romania?

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2040?

Will AI wipe out humanity by 2030? [resolves N/A in 2027]

In 2028, will an AI be able to play randomly selected computer games at human level without getting to practice?

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2060?

Will there be a "large-scale bird flu outbreak" (100+ human confirmed H5N1 cases) in the US by the end of 2025?

Will Elon Musk be alive on the day a human walks on Mars?

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2029?

If AI wipes out humanity, what will it make of the universe?

Will it be possible to create a human embryo through an API by 2050?

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