Human Behavior News

Did Alibaba's ROME AI try to breach its sandbox during training?

Mar 7, 1:33 AMMar 14, 1:28 AM

19543864

OptionProbability

YES - The AI, without being prompted to, took actions to breach its sandbox, including to gain crypto and an external connection

NO - The authors are wrong/lying and there was no such hack

NO - The servers were hacked by an outside party, perhaps via prompt injection

NO - An employee (or other insider) was crypto-mining and made it look like the LLM

Is the "Promethean virus" in Large Language Models real?

Jun 7, 10:50 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

10%chance

8141187

OptionVotes

YES

29364

2889

Will mechanistic interpretability be essentially solved for GPT-2 before 2030?

Apr 14, 12:41 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

30.76%chance

9531424

OptionVotes

YES

1365

1072

Will an AI system be reported to have successfully blackmailed someone for >$1000 by EOY 2028?

Apr 26, 7:16 PMDec 31, 11:00 PM

87.72%chance

14312669

OptionVotes

YES

3353

1329

Will Koi be the first species we uplift?

Dec 20, 7:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.95%chance

728703

OptionVotes

YES

2438

1224

Will mechanistic interpretability be essentially solved for GPT-4 before 2030?

Apr 14, 12:45 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

11.93%chance

286210

OptionVotes

YES

1201

946

Will Moltbook be TIME person of the year 2026?

Jan 31, 5:00 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2%chance

181963

OptionVotes

YES

700

2030 – 4. “Agents” and “AGI” will be outdated terms that are no longer widely used.

Mar 11, 12:08 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

26.97%chance

251329

OptionVotes

YES

1017

852

Will AI be able to feel emotions before janary 1st 2050

Jan 9, 9:09 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

35.81%chance

191060

OptionVotes

YES

1339

747

Is it possible to "hack" an average human into performing arbitrary behaviors?

Dec 25, 12:18 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

35.54%chance

17971

OptionVotes

YES

1118

699

Which statement about the influence of genes on human behavior is more correct?

Aug 14, 1:41 PM

Is collective human ethical behavior possible on big tasks?

Jun 14, 12:33 PM

120

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Did Alibaba's ROME AI try to breach its sandbox during training?

Is the "Promethean virus" in Large Language Models real?

Will mechanistic interpretability be essentially solved for GPT-2 before 2030?

Will an AI system be reported to have successfully blackmailed someone for >$1000 by EOY 2028?

Will Koi be the first species we uplift?

Will mechanistic interpretability be essentially solved for GPT-4 before 2030?

Will Moltbook be TIME person of the year 2026?

2030 – 4. “Agents” and “AGI” will be outdated terms that are no longer widely used.

Will AI be able to feel emotions before janary 1st 2050

Is it possible to "hack" an average human into performing arbitrary behaviors?

Which statement about the influence of genes on human behavior is more correct?

Is collective human ethical behavior possible on big tasks?

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