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Prediction markets for Human Landing System

Will a spacecraft designed to land on an exoplanet be officially launched before the end of 2040?🚀

Jan 7, 3:49 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

25%chance

444532

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1048

482

Which Starship Variants will fly before 2028

Jan 11, 6:38 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

173756

OptionProbability

Pez Dispenser

Tanker

Human Landing System (HLS)

Propellant Depot

Other

Chomper

Mars Cargo

Mars Crew

100

87

68

64

37

34

28

5

Will a spacecraft designed to land on an exoplanet be officially launched before the end of 2030?🚀

Jan 7, 3:43 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

10.64%chance

313618

OptionVotes

NO

YES

992

696

What will be the first celestial body other than Earth, Moon and Mars to be visited by humans?

Apr 2, 1:15 PMApr 10, 3:59 AM

253321

OptionProbability

Callisto

Ganymede

Europa

Mercury

Titan

Venus

Io

Other

52

18

17

6

5

1

1

1

Will the Department of Government Efficiency recommend cancelling Blue Origin's Human Landing System before 2029?

Nov 13, 3:34 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

22.98%chance

141009

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1831

546

California HSR operational between San Francisco and LA before Mars landing?

Jun 18, 6:19 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

48.77%chance

5491

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1025

976

What words will the 'name' of the first Human Landing System to land on the moon include?

Aug 22, 5:44 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

8370

OptionProbability

Eagle

Columbia

Challenger

Space

Lunar

Moon

Discovery

America

Armstrong

Freedom

Enterprise

Endeavour

Voyager

Ranger

Fucking

63

50

33

31

29

27

20

20

20

14

14

14

14

14

0

Will Nestlé publicly apologize for its role in past human rights abuses by 2030?

Aug 7, 2:51 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

38.74%chance

6284

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1258

795

Artemis 3 Launch Date

Jun 20, 4:31 AMJan 31, 11:59 PM

5282

OptionProbability

Other

2030

2031

2029

2028

2027

44

19

18

10

7

3

Will Israel establish a concentration camp in Rafah, Gaza by February 2026?

Aug 19, 8:22 AMFeb 28, 11:59 PM

73.75%chance

10275

OptionVotes

NO

YES

168

60

Will Artemis V use National Team's lander to land on the moon?

May 19, 3:25 PMJan 1, 12:59 AM

61.98%chance

342

OptionVotes

NO

YES

114

70

When will Blue Moon HLS make a successful uncrewed landing on the Moon?

Jun 20, 4:08 AMDec 31, 3:50 AM

125

OptionProbability

Q3 2030

Q4 2030

Other

Q2 2030

Q1 2030

Q1 2027

Q2 2027

Q3 2027

Q4 2027

Q1 2028

Q2 2028

Q3 2028

Q4 2028

Q1 2029

Q2 2029

Q3 2029

Q4 2029

Blue Moon HLS Cancelled

13

13

13

11

10

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

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