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HumanEval News
Prediction markets for HumanEval
Prediction markets for HumanEval
Will a new lab create a top-performing AI frontier model before 2028?
Jun 14, 4:48 PM
Jan 1, 10:59 PM
87.08%
chance
50
12445
Option
Votes
NO
YES
2596
385
Will any frontier model score LOWER than its predecessor on a major benchmark at launch?
Mar 21, 3:32 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
43%
chance
5
3713
Option
Votes
NO
YES
124
29
Will a multi-agent AI system publicly outperform a solo frontier model on a live benchmark before July 2026?
Mar 30, 3:28 PM
Jul 1, 12:00 AM
77.84%
chance
3
80
Option
Votes
NO
YES
161
75
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