HYPE News

US hyperinflation by 2030?

Jan 5, 9:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.11%chance

3846002

OptionVotes

YES

1017

538

Will there be a consensus that hypercomputation is possible by the end of 2050?

Jun 8, 10:05 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

12.22%chance

203337

OptionVotes

YES

2681

373

UK hyperinflation by 2030?

Jan 5, 9:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5.98%chance

212038

OptionVotes

YES

1552

912

Israel hyperinflation by 2030?

Jan 5, 9:13 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.81%chance

171045

OptionVotes

YES

978

969

Taiwan hyperinflation by 2030?

Jan 5, 9:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.02%chance

12709

OptionVotes

YES

1115

961

Ukraine hyperinflation by 2030?

Jan 5, 9:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

32%chance

18498

OptionVotes

YES

1006

988

What Will Be the Next Big Tech Industry Hype Cycle Thing After GPT-Enabled LLM's?

Mar 12, 6:40 PMDec 1, 5:59 AM

19463

OptionProbability

Robots

Some As of Early 2024 Not Even Published Yet Architecture as Revolutionary as Transformers was in 2017

Synthetic Biology / Genetic Engineering: For example, developing new vaccines, engineering proteins for sustainable fabric production, developing cell-cultured meats, plant-based meat alternatives, and engineering human immune cells.

Quantum Computing

Is the Twitter hype about Opus 4.5 overblown? (Based on March 28 poll)

Dec 28, 7:22 AMApr 1, 11:59 PM

24.62%chance

9279

OptionVotes

YES

175

Will there be a successful test of a hypersonic commercial air travel system before 2030?

Feb 7, 7:01 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

61.23%chance

14190

OptionVotes

YES

1020

960

Prediction markets are the hype cycle of 2026

Jan 3, 7:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

28.44%chance

6163

OptionVotes

YES

159

Will DeepSeek's Manifold-Constrained Hyper-Connections (mHC) be used publically by another big lab in 2026?

Jan 6, 10:08 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

70.95%chance

7133

OptionVotes

YES

665

561

Will "Hyperbolic model fits METR capabilities estim..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Aug 22, 10:22 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

13.33%chance

150

OptionVotes

YES

1050

992

HYPE News

Prediction markets for HYPE

Prediction markets for HYPE

Prediction markets for HYPE

US hyperinflation by 2030?

Will there be a consensus that hypercomputation is possible by the end of 2050?

UK hyperinflation by 2030?

Israel hyperinflation by 2030?

Taiwan hyperinflation by 2030?

Ukraine hyperinflation by 2030?

What Will Be the Next Big Tech Industry Hype Cycle Thing After GPT-Enabled LLM's?

Is the Twitter hype about Opus 4.5 overblown? (Based on March 28 poll)

Will there be a successful test of a hypersonic commercial air travel system before 2030?

Prediction markets are the hype cycle of 2026

Will DeepSeek's Manifold-Constrained Hyper-Connections (mHC) be used publically by another big lab in 2026?

Will "Hyperbolic model fits METR capabilities estim..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

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