Hyper News

US hyperinflation by 2030?

Jan 5, 9:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.11%chance

3946012

OptionVotes

YES

1017

538

What will be true of Pokémon Champions?

Feb 27, 2:32 PMAug 8, 1:59 AM

1118127

OptionProbability

Worlds 2026 VG will be hosted on it

You can edit EVs of Pokémon in-game

Free to Play option on launch

Subscription option on launch (i.e. monthly / annual payment)

Microtransactions on launch

Released before 1st July 2026

Released before 1st January 2027

IVs are removed from the game

Worlds 2027 VG will be hosted on it

You can edit IVs of Pokémon in-game (Hyper Training)

Released before 1st January 2026

Battle vs NPC opponents (excluding any tutorial)

You can edit IVs of Pokémon in-game (Full Editing)

100

Will there be a consensus that hypercomputation is possible by the end of 2050?

Jun 8, 10:05 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

12.22%chance

203337

OptionVotes

YES

2681

373

Will at least one U.S. state enact a binding statewide moratorium on new hyperscale data centers before 2027?

Aug 16, 12:37 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

28.04%chance

171578

OptionVotes

YES

1602

624

[Add options] Which of these highly unlikely things will happen to me this century?

Aug 29, 1:03 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

351103

OptionProbability

I successfully get my shit together regarding my "when will I get my shit together?" markets

I lose my virginity 🤯 (literally never gonna happen)

I don’t die 💀

I save >1000 human lives 🚑

I get 1M followers / subscribers on any single online account 😎

I win a hyper-prestigious international prize 🏆

I unironically reject and condemn all of my current philosophical / political beliefs 😈

I walk on the moon 🚀

I become a billionaire 🤑

I become head of state / government of a UN-recognised nation 👑

I get struck by lightning 🌩️

Shark attack 🦈

I shuffle a deck of cards and it ends up in exact ascending order 🃏

Israel hyperinflation by 2030?

Jan 5, 9:13 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.77%chance

181048

OptionVotes

YES

981

969

Ukraine hyperinflation by 2030?

Jan 5, 9:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.76%chance

23799

OptionVotes

YES

1236

895

Taiwan hyperinflation by 2030?

Jan 5, 9:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.02%chance

13715

OptionVotes

YES

1115

961

Will DeepSeek's Manifold-Constrained Hyper-Connections (mHC) be used publically by another big lab in 2026?

Jan 6, 10:08 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

38.71%chance

11597

OptionVotes

YES

872

267

Will there be a successful test of a hypersonic commercial air travel system before 2030?

Feb 7, 7:01 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

60.3%chance

15205

OptionVotes

YES

1035

937

Will "Hyperbolic model fits METR capabilities estim..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Aug 22, 10:22 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

13.33%chance

150

OptionVotes

YES

1050

992

Will Quarterly Capex Spend among AI Hyperscalers decrease before 2028?

Jul 20, 9:52 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

64.57%chance

346

OptionVotes

YES

735

674

Hyper News

Prediction markets for Hyper

Prediction markets for Hyper

Prediction markets for Hyper

US hyperinflation by 2030?

What will be true of Pokémon Champions?

Will there be a consensus that hypercomputation is possible by the end of 2050?

Will at least one U.S. state enact a binding statewide moratorium on new hyperscale data centers before 2027?

[Add options] Which of these highly unlikely things will happen to me this century?

Israel hyperinflation by 2030?

Ukraine hyperinflation by 2030?

Taiwan hyperinflation by 2030?

Will DeepSeek's Manifold-Constrained Hyper-Connections (mHC) be used publically by another big lab in 2026?

Will there be a successful test of a hypersonic commercial air travel system before 2030?

Will "Hyperbolic model fits METR capabilities estim..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Will Quarterly Capex Spend among AI Hyperscalers decrease before 2028?

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