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Top stories

Lightning AI Unveils Marketplace to Slash Multi-Cloud GPU Costs by 70%

Lightning AI Unveils Marketplace to Slash Multi-Cloud GPU Costs by 70%

Authors

10

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Hyperbolic

Will a human reach Venus orbit before 2031?

Aug 29, 4:17 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

5.61%chance

395499

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2351

845

Who will offer the most canonical compute price index at the end of 2026?

Apr 9, 5:39 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

84272

OptionProbability

Silicon Data

Ornn

SemiAnalysis

SquareTower

Hyperbolic

Compute Exchange

Global Compute Index

Other

44

24

12

4

4

4

4

4

Will any American state start a transgender suppression program by 2033?

May 3, 5:03 PMJan 3, 10:59 PM

44.78%chance

473044

OptionVotes

YES

NO

984

961

Will Roy Lee become a billionaire before 2029?

Jun 25, 10:35 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26.63%chance

132448

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1979

1145

Density of hyperbolicity for the Mandelbrot set

Oct 15, 3:21 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

93.3%chance

5167

OptionVotes

NO

YES

295

91

⚽ Will Francesco Camarda be considered a top player before 2034?

Oct 4, 6:43 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

12.01%chance

6148

OptionVotes

YES

NO

169

36

Will "Hyperbolic model fits METR capabilities estim..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Aug 22, 10:22 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

13.33%chance

150

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1050

992

Will Mario Kart on Manifolds be released by EOY2029?

Jul 11, 8:29 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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