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Prediction markets for Hyperscale

Will Anthropic models still be hosted on at least one of AWS, GCP, or Azure at expiry

Feb 28, 12:08 AMAug 31, 10:59 PM

97.16%chance

2711352

OptionVotes

NO

YES

6226

197

will ram prices go down by the end of 2027

Mar 21, 7:58 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

28%chance

112988

OptionVotes

YES

NO

160

62

Google, Amazon, Meta & Microsoft Total Capex for 2027

Feb 7, 2:09 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

61021

OptionProbability

800 Billion +

600-800 Billion

400-599 Billion

>400 Billion

48

37

8

7

Meta sells/rents AI compute to external customers by end-2026?

Oct 30, 1:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

38.22%chance

14858

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1271

787

Which hyperscaler is Applied Digital's Polaris Forge 2 tenant?

Oct 22, 6:59 PMDec 31, 7:58 PM

2635

OptionProbability

Microsoft

Amazon

Google

Meta

Oracle

Other/Undisclosed

36

14

14

14

14

7

By 2027, will Silicon Photonics based multi-chip packages be the main way that most data centres handle data and network traffic?

Feb 25, 9:44 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

16.85%chance

22474

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1227

929

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