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Prediction markets for ICLR

When will the average number of submissions to top AI conferences first decline over the previous year?

Aug 26, 7:05 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

46979

OptionProbability

2025

>2034

2024

2026

2027

2028

2029

2030

2031-2034

Other

17

10

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

In which country will the physical component of the ICLR 2026 conference be held?

Dec 1, 11:12 PMJun 1, 3:59 AM

5777

OptionProbability

Brazil

Other

India

United States of America

No physical component / cancelled

Singapore

79

8

5

3

3

2

Will any submitted paper for ICLR 2024 be a "game changer" by 2030?

Oct 16, 6:07 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

40.98%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

60

42

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