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Prediction markets for ICS

Will the International Court of Justice (ICJ) determine that Israel committed genocide in Gaza?

Jan 3, 7:16 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

19.96%chance

32889041

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1883

1081

Will at least twice as many deportations by U.S. ICE occur in Fiscal Year 2025 compared with Fiscal Year 2024?

Jan 22, 5:29 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

3.93%chance

3760013

OptionVotes

YES

NO

53434

4038

(M5000 subsidy) Will the Arctic sea ice fully melt before the year 2050?

Sep 11, 9:11 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

48.31%chance

7120188

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7088

4729

Will Winds of Winter (a song of ice and fire) be published before George R.R. Martin's death?

Oct 13, 12:47 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

45%chance

9019108

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2303

1690

Will the ICJ determine that Israel committed war crimes in Gaza?

Jan 3, 7:17 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

92.38%chance

11314826

OptionVotes

NO

YES

6748

407

Will Israel be found Guilty of Genocide at the ICJ ?

Jan 12, 5:04 PMMay 31, 10:59 PM

23.13%chance

9610563

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1192

984

EIA Projection for U.S. ICE market share in 2026?

Aug 13, 7:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29220

OptionProbability

75.8 - 77.79 %

74 - 75.79 %

71 - 73.99 %

77.8 - 79.99 %

Other

80 - 82.99 %

29

27

15

14

10

5

Will George R.R. Martin die before delivering the final book in the “A Song of Ice and Fire” series?

Apr 3, 7:06 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

87.79%chance

556315

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2024

1126

Will the next book of A Song of Ice and Fire by George R. R. Martin be released by 2030?

Jul 24, 10:17 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

67.91%chance

522606

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1200

871

Will Ice Cream turn out to actually be "healthy" based on consensus view at EOY 2026?

Nov 11, 7:11 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

18.66%chance

191588

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6173

4649

ICE + 1.075×HEV + 1.12×PHEV exceeds 1,152,000 in November 2025?

Sep 1, 3:36 AMJan 8, 11:59 PM

51.57%chance

254

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1032

969

Who will hold the tetr.io "Supercharged" achievement world record in 67 days (New Years day)?

Oct 27, 12:24 AMJan 2, 12:25 AM

514

OptionProbability

icly

potato2017

roadtohrank

Other

40

20

20

20

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