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Prediction markets for ICS

Will the International Court of Justice (ICJ) determine that Israel committed genocide in Gaza?

Jan 3, 7:16 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

18.78%chance

359110747

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1985

1056

Will Winds of Winter (a song of ice and fire) be published before George R.R. Martin's death?

Oct 13, 12:47 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

40.08%chance

10224320

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2537

1522

(M5000 subsidy) Will the Arctic sea ice fully melt before the year 2050?

Sep 11, 9:11 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

41.17%chance

7321508

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7995

3995

Will the ICJ determine that Israel committed war crimes in Gaza?

Jan 3, 7:17 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

91.42%chance

11515048

OptionVotes

NO

YES

6390

438

Will Israel be found Guilty of Genocide at the ICJ ?

Jan 12, 5:04 PMMay 31, 10:59 PM

19%chance

10613115

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1430

921

Will Ice Cream turn out to actually be "healthy" based on consensus view at EOY 2026?

Nov 11, 7:11 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

7.26%chance

2112589

OptionVotes

YES

NO

14072

3617

Will ICE be deployed at polling stations during the 2026 midterm elections?

Jan 19, 10:53 PMNov 10, 11:59 PM

24.34%chance

789595

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1763

567

Will George R.R. Martin die before delivering the final book in the “A Song of Ice and Fire” series?

Apr 3, 7:06 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

87.94%chance

596459

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2046

1123

Will the next book of A Song of Ice and Fire by George R. R. Martin be released by the end of 2030?

Jul 24, 10:17 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

66.51%chance

576376

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1155

893

Will NASA's Europa Clipper confirm liquid water under the ice?

Oct 18, 1:02 AMOct 15, 3:59 AM

75.53%chance

9863

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1757

569

Will the ICC prosecute a US citizen before 2035?

May 27, 8:36 AMMar 3, 9:59 PM

46.58%chance

13720

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1071

934

Will the Arctic be ice-free in summer by the year 2050?

Apr 23, 12:06 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

73%chance

12574

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1031

835

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