Ignition News

What will Project Hail Mary Global Box Office Gross be (in Millions) 🍿🎥🎬🚀🧑‍🚀

Mar 23, 7:38 PMSep 20, 1:59 PM

192829

OptionProbability

Above $350M

Above $450M

Above $550M

Above $650M

Above $850M

Above $950M

Above $750M

100

Will Falcon boosters have a longer run of sucessful landings than 267?

Aug 31, 9:46 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

67.79%chance

121971

OptionVotes

YES

1451

689

Will Argentina's poverty level drop below 15% by 2030?

Dec 25, 11:21 AMJun 1, 9:59 PM

38.02%chance

431852

OptionVotes

YES

1323

721

Will a nuclear saltwater rocket engine be tested before 2040?

Nov 12, 1:42 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

31.63%chance

14952

OptionVotes

YES

1300

818

Will Artemis IV launch by end of December 2028?

Apr 23, 8:16 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14.11%chance

16575

OptionVotes

YES

247

What happened in Ship 37's engine bay? [Add answers]

Aug 27, 6:19 AMSep 26, 5:54 AM

8506

OptionProbability

Ice clogged the flap root pipe and an overpressure event caused it to rupture

Ice clogged the flap root pipe and trapped residual propellant expanding rapidly from reentry warming caused it to rupture

Too much oxygen and methane mixing in an enclosed space and igniting. Clogged pipes and or solid lumps of oxygen or methane being involved in causing those excessive quantities

A loose heat shield tile struck the outer flap area

A Starlink simulator struck the outer flap area

Will the current Israel conflict end with an agreement organized/led by Middle Eastern states?

Oct 10, 1:22 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

60%chance

13389

OptionVotes

YES

1044

907

Will a nuclear torchship be operated in space before 2100?

Nov 23, 10:02 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

37.29%chance

9368

OptionVotes

YES

130

Will the current Israel conflict end with an agreement organized/led by America?

Oct 10, 4:45 AMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

18.53%chance

7204

OptionVotes

YES

228

136

Will another accidental liftoff occur before 2035?

Mar 30, 5:27 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

42.55%chance

5172

OptionVotes

YES

1162

861

Will Falcon 9 have a second in-flight Anomaly in 2026?

Feb 9, 7:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24%chance

480

OptionVotes

YES

178

Could the Trinity test ignite the atmosphere if the atmosphere were made of something else?

Aug 6, 5:25 PMAug 7, 6:59 AM

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What will Project Hail Mary Global Box Office Gross be (in Millions) 🍿🎥🎬🚀🧑‍🚀

Will Falcon boosters have a longer run of sucessful landings than 267?

Will Argentina's poverty level drop below 15% by 2030?

Will a nuclear saltwater rocket engine be tested before 2040?

Will Artemis IV launch by end of December 2028?

What happened in Ship 37's engine bay? [Add answers]

Will the current Israel conflict end with an agreement organized/led by Middle Eastern states?

Will a nuclear torchship be operated in space before 2100?

Will the current Israel conflict end with an agreement organized/led by America?

Will another accidental liftoff occur before 2035?

Will Falcon 9 have a second in-flight Anomaly in 2026?

Could the Trinity test ignite the atmosphere if the atmosphere were made of something else?

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