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Prediction markets for Illumination

Is the "Promethean virus" in Large Language Models real?

Jun 7, 10:50 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

13.02%chance

7532370

OptionVotes

YES

NO

25533

3383

Which of these world leaders will be guests of Lex Fridman Podcast before the end of 2025?

Nov 23, 12:54 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

429874

OptionProbability

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

Narendra Modi

Vladimir Putin

Xi Jinping

100

99

50

3

Will an animated movie produced by Illumination based on Nintendo's 'The Legend of Zelda' be released before 2027?

Apr 12, 7:46 AMJan 2, 12:30 PM

1.07%chance

91856

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1734

30

Will a Super Smash Bros movie be announced as In Production by Mario Day 2028? (Mar 10)

Dec 21, 4:45 PMMar 11, 4:59 AM

24.07%chance

16624

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1550

742

Is the Illuminati real?

Feb 5, 5:57 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

54.55%chance

9340

OptionVotes

NO

YES

165

72

Will Illumina (ILMN) go bankrupt before 2026?

Feb 20, 8:46 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

23.46%chance

6157

OptionVotes

YES

NO

181

55

Will Illumina (ILMN) go bankrupt before 2028?

Feb 20, 8:47 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

37.39%chance

451

OptionVotes

YES

NO

129

77

What % disease reduction will an epidemiological study of far-UVC air disinfection show?

Apr 2, 10:55 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

32.17%chance

138

OptionProbability

NO

YES

288

61

Will the Super Mario Bros 2 movie get 70% critics score or higher on RT?

Apr 26, 10:18 PMApr 10, 10:16 PM

35%chance

236

OptionVotes

YES

NO

136

73

Will Illumina be subject to M&A before end of 2025

Feb 2, 1:03 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

37.91%chance

336

OptionVotes

YES

NO

86

58

Will Despicable Me 5 be announced before 2027?

Jan 13, 12:30 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

58.95%chance

430

OptionVotes

NO

YES

120

83

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