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Prediction markets for Illustrator

If AI wipes out humanity will everyone on Earth fall over dead in the same second?

Feb 27, 7:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.7%chance

14336408

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5405

1263

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky appear on the cover of any of these magazines before 2028?

Jul 13, 11:37 AMJan 2, 12:30 PM

40.95%chance

10518965

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1066

931

Will Ice Cream turn out to actually be "healthy" based on consensus view at EOY 2026?

Nov 11, 7:11 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

7.46%chance

2112898

OptionVotes

YES

NO

13764

3641

What will this 6-bed Golden Beach home, listed at $3.9M, sell for by end of Dec 31, 2026?

Oct 9, 6:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

211565

OptionProbability

Not sold by Dec 31, 2026

$3,510,000 or below

$3,510,001 – $3,899,999

$3,900,000 – $4,095,000

$4,095,001 or above

64

11

11

8

5

Will any water be mined on the Moon by 2030?

Apr 23, 5:50 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

16%chance

181035

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1714

791

Robotic car vacuum beast by mid 2035

May 21, 10:00 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

43.43%chance

12477

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1141

876

Robo-Palanquin - human-carrying robot available by mid 2034

May 21, 8:44 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

47.95%chance

5350

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1042

960

Will humans remain better at clever turns of phrase and great illustrations, as Wired claims?

Nov 2, 3:43 PMNov 3, 2:37 PM

40.49%chance

7350

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1212

825

Will Protestant and English-speaking countries become even more individualistic in the next World Values Survey?

Sep 25, 8:23 PMMar 1, 7:59 AM

79.01%chance

11213

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1118

952

Will advanced AI systems be found to have made money illegally via finding security exploits and/or getting unauthorized access to others' bank accounts by end of 2035?

Jan 14, 12:54 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

78.3%chance

15188

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1119

950

What will the USDA Moderate-Cost Food Plan be for a family of four in August 2027?

Aug 13, 5:10 AMOct 1, 5:59 AM

00

OptionProbability

Less than $1,350

$1,350–$1,399.99

$1,400–$1,449.99

$1,450–$1,499.99

$1,500–$1,549.99

$1,550 or more

17

17

17

17

17

17

When will we have Ai that can draw diagrams to illustrate it's point.

Aug 27, 7:58 PMDec 31, 5:04 PM

60

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