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Prediction markets for Image

Will any image model available to the public be able to reliably produce images of every regular polygon before 2026?

Dec 30, 6:44 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

35.41%chance

12222971

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1112

420

Will there be a released image of Donald Trump and Laura Loomer kissing lip to lip by the end of 2025?

Sep 13, 8:38 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

2.51%chance

4615703

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4711

747

Before 2026, Will DL systems outperform humans at describing a picture in words to make human mental images match it?

Jun 19, 12:33 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

33%chance

134578

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1425

702

Will AI replace radiologists as the main reporter of clinical images in the USA (without human oversight) before 2050?

Mar 5, 11:37 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

79.1%chance

281580

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1104

939

By 2026, the SOTA in image generation will be using mind reading to control the generation.

Aug 25, 9:13 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

15.17%chance

19968

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1435

864

Will there be an open source, uncensored AI image generator with the same or greater quality as DALLE-3 by end of 2025?

Sep 27, 4:47 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

89.64%chance

16853

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1379

916

Will a major media outlet publish an exposé on Oprah Winfrey's business practices and public image by December 31, 2025?

Sep 17, 6:16 PMDec 31, 7:20 PM

28.05%chance

8820

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1601

624

Will an AI agent be able to draw a mid-2024-diffusion-model-quality image in a standard drawing program by 2027?

Sep 2, 6:22 PMJan 1, 6:59 PM

59.87%chance

10781

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1224

822

Will there be HD real images (e.g. telescope, probe) of the dwarf planet Eris by 2030?

Jan 9, 3:47 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

12.5%chance

18649

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1360

886

OpenAI images have a useful and hard to remove watermark, by mid 2026

Jan 2, 8:42 AMJun 30, 9:59 PM

37.68%chance

11535

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1286

778

Will AI finally generate an acceptable image of "Peter Thiel making out with, cuddling with, and incubating an egg together with a gay penguin" by 2025?

Jan 5, 4:48 AMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

84.79%chance

13267

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1181

938

Will Google add AI image generation as an option to Google Images by the end of 2025?

Jun 30, 6:21 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

43.33%chance

475

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1055

956

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