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Prediction markets for Image Generator

Will Anthropic release a first-party image generation model in 2026?

Jan 27, 11:23 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

38.07%chance

8621786

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1275

784

Will Anthropic's first image generation capability be based on an in-house image model?

Feb 3, 5:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

39.74%chance

314213

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1214

460

Will Anthropic natively integrate image generation into Claude and/or Claude Code in 2026?

Feb 6, 7:19 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

42%chance

253085

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1175

851

Which AI-generated images will Trump or official US accounts share during his second term?

May 7, 9:21 AMDec 20, 11:59 AM

272044

OptionProbability

Trump as Superman

Trump as an astronaut

Trump as a cowboy

Trump as a pilot

Trump as a wizard.

Trump as a Spartan

Trump as a scientist

Trump as Dalai Lama.

Trump as a lion.

Trump as the God-Emperor of Mankind.

100

73

56

45

31

26

25

13

11

6

Before 2027, will OpenAI release a reasoning model that generates image tokens in its CoT?

Dec 13, 1:55 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.23%chance

91167

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1871

535

Will OpenAI or Google announce an release a reduction to image generation filters around nudity by EOY 2027?

Jun 10, 1:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40%chance

13685

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1225

816

Before 2028, dating app users will commonly have AI-generated younger/hotter images of themselves on their profiles

Apr 13, 9:05 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

92.96%chance

3301

OptionVotes

NO

YES

169

36

Will Google add AI image generation as an option to Google Images by the end of 2026?

Sep 25, 10:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

71.06%chance

8118

OptionVotes

NO

YES

639

571

AI generates better alt text for 90% of test images by June 30, 2026?

Mar 30, 9:39 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

56.17%chance

9115

OptionVotes

NO

YES

113

88

Is Diffusion Models all you need for image generation?

Apr 25, 11:53 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

38.12%chance

6105

OptionVotes

YES

NO

151

96

Will inference-time scaling improve the generation of images with correct geometric shapes? (in generative AI)

Dec 30, 2:10 PMJan 5, 10:59 PM

73.43%chance

576

OptionVotes

NO

YES

166

60

Twitter + Ai Image Generation + Bitmoji integration by end 2027

Nov 1, 9:19 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

45.25%chance

17

OptionVotes

YES

NO

55

45

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