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Top stories

xAI Releases Grok Update, Boosts Speed and Animation in Imagine

xAI Releases Grok Update, Boosts Speed and Animation in Imagine

Authors

12

4 months ago

xAI Releases Grok App Version 1.1.62 Adding Text Chat With Companions Ani, Valentine, Rudi and Removes Ani’s Outfit

xAI Releases Grok App Version 1.1.62 Adding Text Chat With Companions Ani, Valentine, Rudi and Removes Ani’s Outfit

Authors

4

3 months ago

Prediction markets for Imagine

Which AI tech companies will be acquired for more than $1B in 2025? 💰

Jan 8, 7:47 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

38143845

OptionProbability

Hugging Face

DataBricks

ElevenLabs (audio)

Suno (music)

Pinecone (database)

Runway AI

Grammarly

Nous Research (open source, decentralized AI)

Perplexity

Devin (Cognition)

Magic (coding)

Figure AI

Groq

Midjourney

Stability AI

OpenAI

Anthropic

xAI

SSI (Ilya Sutskever)

Cohere

Mistral AI

6

5

5

5

5

5

5

5

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

2

2

2

2

2

1

Superhuman mathematical problem solving before 2030, assuming no AGI yet?

Apr 18, 9:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.25%chance

88143181

OptionVotes

YES

NO

106395

18257

By 2030, will an organisation be manufacturing products in Earth orbit?

May 15, 1:19 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

74.04%chance

18153882

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1998

1192

Will good quality personalised AI novels be instantly and cheaply available by the end of 2027?

Jun 27, 3:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

47%chance

16739510

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1643

1186

Which computational universe do we live in?

Sep 17, 5:07 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

283938

OptionProbability

Cryptomania

Minicrypt

Heuristica

Pessiland

Algorithmica

75

8

7

7

3

Does eating snow dehydrate you?

Apr 10, 4:08 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

4.15%chance

323360

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1600

888

Which of these mainstream artists (or bands) will credit an AI in a song release? (Kanye ft. Suno, or Drake ft. ChatGPT)

Apr 4, 1:27 PMApr 4, 1:30 PM

372833

OptionProbability

Grimes

Deadmau5

Kanye West

Apex Twin

Imagine Dragons

Will Smith

Justin Bieber

The Weeknd

Coldplay

Madonna

Drake

Ed Sheeran

Selena Gomez

Snoop Dog

Rihanna

Lana Del Ray

Ariana Grande

Beyoncé

U2

Green Day

Adele

Kendrick Lamar

Taylor Swift

Eminem

Olivia Rodrigo

85

51

43

30

25

23

19

19

19

19

19

18

17

17

17

16

13

13

13

11

11

11

10

7

6

If humanity is still alive in 2035, what will be the reason?

Jul 2, 2:51 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

282721

OptionProbability

AI winter

Benign superintelligence

Other

Effective international moratorium

33

28

23

17

Will a magazine publish a +8000 word piece about the Silicon Valley Bank saga?

Mar 13, 9:43 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

23.33%chance

191408

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1807

221

Will a general molecular assembler, as imagined by Eric Drexler, be built before 2035?

Nov 2, 4:01 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

32.46%chance

14587

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1139

442

Machine using energy measured in imaginary numbers exists by EOY2050?

Jul 12, 4:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.03%chance

6244

OptionVotes

YES

NO

270

37

Must one imagine Sisyphus happy?

Nov 18, 4:59 AM

80

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