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xAI Releases Grok Update, Boosts Speed and Animation in Imagine

6 months ago

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xAI Releases Grok App Version 1.1.62 Adding Text Chat With Companions Ani, Valentine, Rudi and Removes Ani’s Outfit

5 months ago

Superhuman mathematical problem solving before 2030, assuming no AGI yet?

Apr 18, 9:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17.49%chance

92161256

OptionVotes

YES

112159

17112

By 2030, will an organisation be manufacturing products in Earth orbit?

May 15, 1:19 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

74.04%chance

18153882

OptionVotes

YES

1998

1192

Will good quality personalised AI novels be instantly and cheaply available by the end of 2027?

Jun 27, 3:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45%chance

16740007

OptionVotes

YES

1703

1135

Which computational universe do we live in?

Sep 17, 5:07 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

283938

OptionProbability

Cryptomania

Minicrypt

Heuristica

Pessiland

Algorithmica

Does eating snow dehydrate you?

Apr 10, 4:08 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

4.42%chance

333412

OptionVotes

YES

1505

892

How many new Tesla models will go on sale in 2026?

Jan 3, 9:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

43150

OptionProbability

Zero?! Have a little faith!

One, playing safe

Two! That would break the internet

Three? Imagine the tweets!

Four?! Really? You might as well bet on other

Other

Which of these mainstream artists (or bands) will credit an AI in a song release? (Kanye ft. Suno, or Drake ft. ChatGPT)

Apr 4, 1:27 PMApr 4, 1:30 PM

372833

OptionProbability

Grimes

Deadmau5

Kanye West

Apex Twin

Imagine Dragons

Will Smith

Justin Bieber

The Weeknd

Coldplay

Madonna

Drake

Ed Sheeran

Selena Gomez

Snoop Dog

Rihanna

Lana Del Ray

Ariana Grande

Beyoncé

Green Day

Adele

Kendrick Lamar

Taylor Swift

Eminem

Olivia Rodrigo

If humanity is still alive in 2035, what will be the reason?

Jul 2, 2:51 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

282721

OptionProbability

AI winter

Benign superintelligence

Other

Effective international moratorium

Will a general molecular assembler, as imagined by Eric Drexler, be built before 2035?

Nov 2, 4:01 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

32.46%chance

14587

OptionVotes

YES

1139

442

Machine using energy measured in imaginary numbers exists by EOY2050?

Jul 12, 4:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.03%chance

6244

OptionVotes

YES

270

How will I rate these writings? [Memory]

Dec 21, 8:09 PMDec 31, 7:53 PM

OptionProbability

Kandel, Dudai & Mayford (2014) "The Molecular and Systems Biology of Memory"

Auletta (2011) “Cognitive biology” Chapter 17

Michaelian (2011) “Generative memory”

Michaelian & Sutton (2017) “Memory”

Kandel (2009) "The Biology of Memory: A Forty-Year Perspective”

Schacter (1997) "Searching For Memory"

Ortega-de San Luis & Ryan (2022) "Understanding the physical basis of memory: Molecular mechanisms of the engram”

Schacter & Addis (2007) “The cognitive neuroscience of constructive memory: remembering the past and imagining the future”

Morimoto & Koshland (1991) "Short-term and long-term memory in single cells"

Frise (2023) “Epistemological Problems of Memory”

Must one imagine Sisyphus happy?

Nov 18, 4:59 AM

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Prediction markets for Imagine

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Prediction markets for Imagine

Superhuman mathematical problem solving before 2030, assuming no AGI yet?

By 2030, will an organisation be manufacturing products in Earth orbit?

Will good quality personalised AI novels be instantly and cheaply available by the end of 2027?

Which computational universe do we live in?

Does eating snow dehydrate you?

How many new Tesla models will go on sale in 2026?

Which of these mainstream artists (or bands) will credit an AI in a song release? (Kanye ft. Suno, or Drake ft. ChatGPT)

If humanity is still alive in 2035, what will be the reason?

Will a general molecular assembler, as imagined by Eric Drexler, be built before 2035?

Machine using energy measured in imaginary numbers exists by EOY2050?

How will I rate these writings? [Memory]

Must one imagine Sisyphus happy?

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