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Prediction markets for In Love

By 2028, will Eliezer Yudkowsky announce he's in love with an AI girlfriend?

Feb 15, 1:31 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

3.17%chance

334938

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3560

802

Will BasedBeffJezos fall in love, make out with, or have babby with janus/repligate by 2035?

Jul 2, 11:14 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

7.24%chance

22980

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3579

279

By 2028, will Aella announce she's in love with an AI boyfriend?

Feb 16, 9:52 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

6.41%chance

211500

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2217

833

Will Jose Luis Ricon receive more total love in the world than Jesus Christ by 2030?

Sep 11, 5:05 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

1.3%chance

61162

OptionVotes

YES

NO

947

25

Most loved programming language in stackoverflow survey 2026?

Dec 29, 4:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

11552

OptionProbability

Rust

Crystal

Other

F#

Lua

85

7

4

2

2

Will Jordan Love play in the Valentine's Day Super Bowl?

Feb 12, 5:06 PMFeb 15, 4:59 AM

12.3%chance

5228

OptionVotes

YES

NO

304

103

Will "Love stays loved (formerly "Skin")" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Jul 19, 9:04 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

23.91%chance

3126

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1096

568

Will Luigi Mangione get into a relationship/fall in love by EOY 2027?

Dec 10, 7:17 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

29.56%chance

466

OptionVotes

YES

NO

154

65

Will Joy Kong, MD and Bryan Johnson end up dating or falling in love

Jul 4, 10:37 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

31.02%chance

250

OptionVotes

YES

NO

149

67

Will "How I Learned That I Don't Feel Companionate Love" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Nov 13, 11:05 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

13.92%chance

228

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1006

999

Will Alexey guzey and zeynep guzey fall in love or create life (#GuzeyBabby) together?

Jul 7, 4:56 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

39.31%chance

125

OptionVotes

YES

NO

124

80

Will someone/LLM write fanfic of gwern saving janus/repligate in castle, falling in love, and saving the world by 2029?

Jun 11, 7:47 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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