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Prediction markets for In Love

By 2028, will Eliezer Yudkowsky announce he's in love with an AI girlfriend?

Feb 15, 1:31 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

3.15%chance

334916

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3581

801

Will BasedBeffJezos fall in love, make out with, or have babby with janus/repligate by 2035?

Jul 2, 11:14 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

7.24%chance

22980

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3579

279

By 2028, will Aella announce she's in love with an AI boyfriend?

Feb 16, 9:52 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

6.41%chance

211500

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2217

833

Will Parmita Mishra (@prmshra) and Jose Luis Ricon (@ArtirKel) fall in love by EOY 2030?

Jun 30, 10:33 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

23.32%chance

4180

OptionVotes

YES

NO

181

55

Will Joscha Bach and repligate/janus fall in love?

Jul 21, 8:12 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

14.56%chance

4145

OptionVotes

YES

NO

242

41

Will "Love stays loved (formerly "Skin")" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Jul 19, 9:04 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

23.91%chance

3126

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1096

568

Will Guillaume Verdon/BasedBeffJezos and Rochelle Shen either date, fall in love with, or have an e/acc baby together?

Dec 23, 6:23 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

35.73%chance

475

OptionVotes

YES

NO

118

70

Will Luigi Mangione get into a relationship/fall in love by EOY 2027?

Dec 10, 7:17 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

29.56%chance

466

OptionVotes

YES

NO

154

65

Will Feng Timo and Jose Luis Ricon (JLR) date/fall in love?

Nov 10, 7:28 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

23.63%chance

255

OptionVotes

YES

NO

145

62

Will Joy Kong, MD and Bryan Johnson end up dating or falling in love

Jul 4, 10:37 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

31.02%chance

250

OptionVotes

YES

NO

149

67

Will "How I Learned That I Don't Feel Companionate Love" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Nov 13, 11:05 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

13.92%chance

228

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1006

999

Will @deepfates fall in love with @SymmetricVision or @cube_flipper?

Jul 20, 7:43 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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