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Prediction markets for Income Tax

Will Trump substantially replace income taxes with tariffs?

Jun 14, 2:54 PMJan 22, 4:59 AM

2.01%chance

178303

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6986

143

Will the UK Government offer >1000£ in tax incentives to people earning more than the UK median income to get health insurance before 2025?

Jan 2, 10:44 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.49%chance

121938

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2042

865

Will the UK increase the personal income tax rate before 2026?

Mar 30, 4:05 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

31.17%chance

291883

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1465

692

Will the UK increase its top marginal tax rate on income in 2025?

Jan 20, 7:20 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

14.78%chance

161577

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2401

417

Will there be a global wealth or income tax by 2035?

May 20, 9:09 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

23.25%chance

181437

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1817

550

"President Trump abolishes federal income tax this year?"

Apr 5, 10:04 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

2.24%chance

81230

OptionVotes

YES

NO

660

15

Will Trump abolish income tax and replace it with revenue from tariffs?

Nov 3, 3:47 PMDec 31, 12:59 PM

2.13%chance

15871

OptionVotes

YES

NO

677

15

Will income tax be eliminated by 2040?

Jan 22, 6:40 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

3.61%chance

13607

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1557

933

Middle Class Income Tax Hike by 2029?

Sep 27, 12:14 AMJan 29, 4:59 AM

4560

OptionProbability

No

Yes, Republican President

Yes, Democrat President

60

20

20

Will the US continue to use a Standard Deduction in determining income tax by end of 2030?

Jan 22, 4:52 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

87.33%chance

12295

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1268

931

Will Microstrategy have to pay any federal income taxes on unrealised gains on its cryptocurrency holdings in 2026?

Jan 28, 10:37 PMJan 1, 2:59 PM

15.38%chance

3145

OptionVotes

YES

NO

235

43

Will Brazilian Congress pass any income tax reform until the end of 2027?

Jul 29, 11:25 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

72.05%chance

8129

OptionVotes

NO

YES

153

85

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