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Prediction markets for Income Taxation

Will I be radicalized against taxes by having a job?

Oct 16, 7:42 PMOct 16, 7:32 PM

21.12%chance

524773

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1932

517

Will the EU introduce any form of direct taxation during the 2024-2029 legislative period?

May 19, 2:41 PMJun 25, 9:59 PM

22.43%chance

193648

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2117

1093

When will Trump abolish U.S. expat taxes on overseas income?

Mar 8, 7:05 AMJan 31, 3:59 PM

111808

OptionProbability

Other

2027

2028

2026

2025

2024

73

8

8

5

3

2

Will there be a global wealth or income tax by 2035?

May 20, 9:09 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

21.85%chance

221525

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1891

529

Will the US create a universal Healthcare system by EOY 2030?

Oct 20, 7:02 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25%chance

6746

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1732

577

Will mental-health / subjective-wellbeing interventions in LMIC get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Oct 31, 6:06 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

67.62%chance

6136

OptionVotes

NO

YES

382

213

US ends citizenship-based taxation by 2030?

Nov 2, 12:56 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

20.8%chance

5115

OptionVotes

YES

NO

195

51

When will one of the top 5 U.S. universities (HYPSM) fall out of the top 10?

Aug 6, 7:32 AMSep 30, 7:26 AM

110

OptionProbability

After 2045

2025-2029

2030-2034

2035-2039

2040-2044

33

17

17

17

17

Taxation of rental income (through income tax) is replaced $ for $ with property tax. Rental prices for tenants go:

Sep 14, 2:40 PM

10

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