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Prediction markets for Income Taxation

Will I be radicalized against taxes by having a job?

Oct 16, 7:42 PMOct 16, 7:32 PM

20.35%chance

514332

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1979

505

Will the EU introduce any form of direct taxation during the 2024-2029 legislative period?

May 19, 2:41 PMJun 25, 9:59 PM

22.43%chance

193648

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2117

1093

Will there be a global wealth or income tax by 2035?

May 20, 9:09 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

22.58%chance

211472

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1852

540

When will Trump abolish U.S. expat taxes on overseas income?

Mar 8, 7:05 AMJan 31, 3:59 PM

7616

OptionProbability

Other

2027

2028

2026

2024

2025

49

13

13

11

7

7

Will mental-health / subjective-wellbeing interventions in LMIC get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Oct 31, 6:06 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

64.69%chance

5110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

356

226

US ends citizenship-based taxation by 2030?

Nov 2, 12:56 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

23.58%chance

380

OptionVotes

YES

NO

180

56

When will one of the top 5 U.S. universities (HYPSM) fall out of the top 10?

Aug 6, 7:32 AMSep 30, 7:26 AM

110

OptionProbability

After 2045

2025-2029

2030-2034

2035-2039

2040-2044

33

17

17

17

17

Taxation of rental income (through income tax) is replaced $ for $ with property tax. Rental prices for tenants go:

Sep 14, 2:40 PM

10

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