IND News

👍👎 Manifold Leadership Approval Rating [Market Index]

Jan 11, 5:36 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

48%chance

4531094477

OptionVotes

YES

11267

7882

QQQ Index falls below $350 at any point in 2025

Dec 10, 5:52 AMDec 31, 12:00 AM

1.71%chance

2288195

OptionVotes

YES

77082

1387

What will be the official cause(s) of the Air India Flight 171 crash?

Jun 13, 6:55 AMJun 30, 6:43 AM

16965924

OptionProbability

Pilot Action: Pilot action was a primary cause of the crash.

Design/Manufacturing Defect: A Boeing design or manufacturing defect was a primary cause of the crash.

Maintenance/Fueling Lapse: An Air India maintenance or fueling lapse was a primary cause of the crash.

The winner of the 2028 US election would be of Indian descent.

Sep 4, 1:27 AMDec 11, 5:59 AM

11.65%chance

6229771

OptionVotes

YES

27427

3926

🇧🇷 2026: winner is Lula, or whoever he endorses / Lula ou seu indicado vence

Sep 24, 9:28 AMJan 16, 7:59 PM

45.28%chance

5018281

OptionVotes

YES

44742

35956

Will the 12-month percentage change in the US Consumer Price Index be lower in Nov. 2025 than it was in Nov. 2024

Jan 22, 9:02 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

31.43%chance

128234

OptionVotes

YES

15509

5886

If I buy physical indium for investment, will I regret it in 5 years from now?

May 24, 1:59 AMMay 5, 3:59 AM

63.04%chance

796801

OptionVotes

YES

14151

8635

Will Dr. Beatriz Villarroel’s “aligned transients” be independently replicated?

Aug 23, 3:36 AMJan 1, 3:31 AM

43.92%chance

72471

OptionVotes

YES

11299

8850

China's 70-city new home price index YoY change for December 2025 >= -2.0%?

Nov 26, 6:05 AMJan 31, 11:59 PM

40.83%chance

32393

OptionVotes

YES

12039

8306

China's 70-city new home price index for January 2026 ≥ -2.0% YoY?

Nov 26, 6:08 AMFeb 27, 11:59 PM

56.37%chance

41397

OptionVotes

YES

11367

8797

By the end of 2035, will any country score 95/9.5 or higher on one of the two major economic freedom indexes?

Mar 31, 7:04 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

28.8%chance

11360

OptionVotes

YES

10122

9934

By how many years would AGI-induced transformative impact (defined as sustained global GDP growth of +5% annually) be de

May 18, 7:34 PMDec 31, 8:31 PM

OptionProbability

0 - 4

5 - 9

10 - 19

20 - 29

30 - 49

50 - 100

Above 100

IND News

Prediction markets for IND

Prediction markets for IND

Prediction markets for IND

👍👎 Manifold Leadership Approval Rating [Market Index]

QQQ Index falls below $350 at any point in 2025

What will be the official cause(s) of the Air India Flight 171 crash?

The winner of the 2028 US election would be of Indian descent.

🇧🇷 2026: winner is Lula, or whoever he endorses / Lula ou seu indicado vence

Will the 12-month percentage change in the US Consumer Price Index be lower in Nov. 2025 than it was in Nov. 2024

If I buy physical indium for investment, will I regret it in 5 years from now?

Will Dr. Beatriz Villarroel’s “aligned transients” be independently replicated?

China's 70-city new home price index YoY change for December 2025 >= -2.0%?

China's 70-city new home price index for January 2026 ≥ -2.0% YoY?

By the end of 2035, will any country score 95/9.5 or higher on one of the two major economic freedom indexes?

By how many years would AGI-induced transformative impact (defined as sustained global GDP growth of +5% annually) be de

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