Independent State Legislature News

Will Trump 2.0 be the end of Democracy as we know it?

Oct 26, 3:24 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

41.73%chance

556181872

OptionVotes

YES

2717

2003

If the Texas GOP succeeds in redistricting, will they gain seats in the midterms?

Jul 21, 11:15 AMNov 8, 12:14 PM

86.69%chance

171725

OptionVotes

YES

2552

392

Will gerrymandering U.S. Congressional districts be illegal in the U.S. by 2030?

Aug 5, 6:05 PMNov 5, 6:54 PM

16.82%chance

18779

OptionVotes

YES

1162

946

When will Canada separate itself from the monarchy?

Mar 31, 1:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3175

OptionProbability

Not before King Charles has died/abdicated (not necessarily immediately)

By 2050

Not before Quebec declares independence

By 2040

Not before closing date

Before Quebec declares independence

While under King Charles

By 2030

In 2025

Will gerrymandering U.S. Congressional districts be illegal in the U.S. by 2040?

Aug 5, 6:07 PMNov 6, 6:54 PM

32%chance

892

OptionVotes

YES

189

156

Independent State Legislature News

Prediction markets for Independent State Legislature

Prediction markets for Independent State Legislature

Prediction markets for Independent State Legislature

Will Trump 2.0 be the end of Democracy as we know it?

If the Texas GOP succeeds in redistricting, will they gain seats in the midterms?

Will gerrymandering U.S. Congressional districts be illegal in the U.S. by 2030?

When will Canada separate itself from the monarchy?

Will gerrymandering U.S. Congressional districts be illegal in the U.S. by 2040?

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