Indian IT News

The shooter killed Charlie Kirk

The shooter is alive when this market hits 100 traders

Did it on purpose

The shooter is a member of domain Eukarya

The shooter is not a extraterrestrial alien

US citizen

Male

Will the shooter of Charlie Kirk be apprehended alive by the end of September?

Born in the United States

Lives (or has lived) in Utah

Current or former LDS Church (mainline Mormon) member

Firearm used was otherwise lawfully owned under federal and state law

Native English speaker (L1)

Is a registered voter

used a bolt action rifle

has at least one sibling

at least ten questions in this market resolve YES (excluding questions about other question's resolutions) (excluding N/A)

Has a Reddit, Xitter, or Facebook account

“Extremely Online” (market owner’s subjective judgment)

n/a

White

20-27 years old

Skinny

Is the same person the FBI identified as the “person of interest”

Is named Tyler Robinson

wrote reference to furry culture on bullet casing

Resided in the same state as the incident

ectomorph body type

had fired a weapon at least once in their life before shooting Charlie Kirk

disliked Charlie Kirk

Turns themselves in to the police / FBI

Acted alone (no accomplices)

He killed Kirk to stop the spread of hatred.

Owns steam profile 76561198159427286

at least a quarter of the questions in this market resolve YES (excluding questions about other question's resolutions) (excluding N/A)

Had bullets with engraved messages on them

Accident please N/A

has purchased furry-related media or items

Gamer

Hunter

iphone user

Motivated primarily by political ideology

Will plead guilty

has expressed positive sentiment towards furries

Unemployed

Is left wing

is/was in a sexual relationship with a transwoman

has a furaffinity account

Owns a car

Lives (or has lived) in the Provo–Orem metropolitan area

legally acquired the gun used to kill Charlie Kirk

Inconsistent, incoherent, or idiosyncratic political ideology

actually has an indecipherable ideology rooted deeply within internet culture that doesn’t clearly fall on either side.

Has/had a partner named Lance Twiggs

Is sentenced to death

Furry

Communicated with peers primarily through Discord

Not a virgin

Owns physical furry paraphernalia

extra charges are filed against him based on evidence discovered on his digital devices

Purchased and played Furry Shades of Gay on Steam

Strongly opposes zionism

There is anecdotal evidence that they have a KiwiFarms account

N/A (oops)

is/was in a sexual relationship with a furry transwoman

is/was in a sexual relationship with a furry

Conspired with an AI chatbot about this

Dies in prison

Has posted on r/toiletpaperusa

has used the word yiff in written communication

Lesbian, Gay, Bisexual, or Transgender

Has ADHD

Any published writings (including blogs, tweets, etc.) supporting the July 2024 attempted assassination of Donald Trump

had attended any event featuring kirk prior to the one at utah valley university

6 ft tall

Kash Patel alludes to his sexual deviancy

Has at least US$5.000 of credit card debt

was prescribed psychiatric medication

has vore kink

Anarchist (self-described; any "anarcho-" label counts)

Owned the firearm used

Went to furry events

cross-dresser

Will kill again (including suicide)

Purposefully waited until Kirk mentioned shootings to fire

Avowed right-leaning ideology (broadly construed: Republican, MAGA, right-libertarian, neo-Nazi, monarchist all count)

JD Vance alludes to his sexual deviancy

Elon Musk alludes to his sexual deviancy

Avowed left-leaning ideology (broadly construed: Democrat, socialist, communist, Green all count)

White cis-hetero Christian man

Any published writings (including blogs, tweets, etc.) supporting Luigi Mangione

Participates in this market

Wrote a manifesto before the shooting

student at any university

Owns a fursuit

Brony or a fan of My Little Pony

Radical Centrist/JREG fan

All questions in this market are resolved before 2026

Has Reddit account with 10k+ karma

Has a Bluesky account

There is a broad consensus that they have a KiwiFarms account

Posted about Charlie Kirk on social media before the shooting

psychedelics user

at least half of the questions in this market resolve YES (excluding questions about other question's resolutions) (excluding N/A)

Former or current Charlie Kirk fan

Contact with CVLT/764/similar

made online adult/sexual content (e.g. onlyfans)

Was on an FBI watchlist

Involved in Israel/Palestine activism on either side

Had diagnosed mental illness

Will be convicted by EOY 2026

J.K. Rowling alludes to his sexual deviancy

Fan fiction author

Femboy

History of illegal drug addiction

Escapes carceral detention

Was awarded a medal or award for marksmanship at any given point in time

History of domestic violence

Is right wing

has significant student load debt

Shooting was motivated by gun legislation in some way

Transgender

groyper

Left-handed

Had felony conviction previously

Current or former Calvary Chapel or other Pentecostal church member

Current or previous student at University of Utah

is Mossad

Was a student at UVU

Dead, as of October 10th (or earlier)

Motivated by personal grudge rather than politics (e.g. sexual jealousy or other personal-life motive)

Incel

Any documented connection to O9A (Order of Nine Angles, esoteric right-accelerationst group)

Accelerationist (any subtype)

Wanted to create pretext for violence against leftists

A time traveller trying to avoid the worst

Has Twitter account with more than 2000 tweets

White Nationalist

The shooter will read "If Anyone Builds It..." (either while on the run or in custody) and likes the book

Current or former Roman Catholic

Involved in Effective Altruism

Was motivated by the Trump Epstein cover up?

Has a parent who drives for Uber

decel

Will get killed by law enforcement

Was a fan of Charlie Kirk

The shooter is a professional hitman, who does not care much about politics or ideology

Age >= 40 (on the day of the shooting)

Used a handgun

Ex-military

Not arrested as of midnight EST 9/14

Has a PhD

Has a Manifold account

Muslim

Veteran

History of alcoholism

Will share their first name with a famous video game character

Teenager

50 years or older

Has a master's degree

Will be apprehended at McDonald's, like Luigi Mangione.

Female Ninja Type Sniper

Is or was a computer science student

Ex law enforcement

Married

Parent

Manifold assists with his capture

Had a wikipedia page prior to 9/10/2025

Not arrested before EOY 2025

Fled the country after the shooting

Personally knew Charlie Kirk

Enjoys diplomatic immunity

Indian national

The shooter was an AI or an android controlled by AI

Iranian national

Registered Democrat

Will be convicted by EOY 2025

Will be apprehended at a McDonald's

is in fact three racoons dressed in a trenchcoat

Meant to hit an apple on Charlie Kirk's head

used telekinesis to correct the bullet's trajectory

Ron Weasley is a redhead

Harry Potter is white

At least one named character from the book has their race changed

Snape is black

An actor who acted in the movies returns for the show

Harry, Ron, and Hermione’s actors will all be British

Dumbledore casts a spell (spoken or wordlessly)

Fred and George are twins irl

Hagrid is played by an actor who is under 6'4"

Harry Potter doesn't cast a single spoken, working spell in the first episode

McGonagall performs an animagus transformation (human2cat or cat2human)

Hermione’s parent(s) shown on screen

A History of Magic lesson is shown on screen

A character cut from the movies appears (ie Theodore Nott)

Premieres in 2026

Cornelius Fudge is shown on screen

Ron Weasley doesn't cast a single, spoken, working spell in the first two episodes

Quirrel is wearing a head covering when Harry first meets him

Malfoy has white blonde hair

The potion riddle guarding the Stone will be featured

Arthur Weasley is shown on screen

There’s a scene set before Harry is born

Peeves is a reoccurring character

JK Rowling is credited as both an executive producer and original writer

It's woke

Harry first sees Hogwarts castle in episode 2

Hagrid says "You’re a wizard, Harry"

A scene depicts Voldemort trying to kill baby Harry

mandrake root on screen

80% or higher on rotten tomatoes

It will be torrentfreak.com's "Most Pirated" TV show for its year of release or the following year

Arabella Figg is mentioned by first or last name

An Astronomy lesson is shown on screen

Luna Lovegood, Cho Chang, or Cedric Diggory are mentioned by first or last name, or are in the credits

A house elf is shown on screen

Homosexual interaction between some characters will be presented

The Quibbler is shown or mentioned

At least one named character from the book has their gender swapped

Hagrid ties Vernon’s gun into a knot

An actor who appeared in any of the Jackass films receives a credit on IMDB related to the show

Premieres on strongly symbolic date (like July 31, 21.12)

Goblins are still represented as anti-semitic caricatures

The Weasley's Ford Anglia is seen flying

The Flying Ford Anglia is seen.

Harry is shown holding more than three different wands at Ollivander’s

"Voldemort" has a silent "t"

Harry first sees Hogwarts castle in episode 3

Hagrid presents a cake with writing on it to Harry and the writing has no misspellings

Harry visits Diagon Alley in episode 1

VOLDEMORT HAS A NOSE

It ends on a cliff hanger

The intro theme song will have at least one obvious English word

Harry visits Platform 9 3/4 in episode 1

Dobby makes an appearance

At least one of the actors is transgender

90% or higher on rotten tomatoes

Harry only reaches Hogwarts in the last 10 minutes of the first episode

Quirrel shakes Harry’s hand during their first meeting

Any Harry Potter fanfic is referenced (either explicitly as judged by market creator, or confirmed by someone who works on the show)

Harry Potter doesn't cast a single, spoken, working spell in the first three episode

Hermione is Indian

We see a wizarding school other than Hogwarts

Features an explicitly transgender character

Hermione is white

JK Rowling makes a cameo appearance

actor in the show wins an Emmy for acting

Premieres in 2027

Zendaya is cast in the show

Smartphone shown within Hogwarts

Awkwafina is cast in the show

Hermione is black

Voldemort is a woman

Hagrid is played by an actor with a cognitive disability

There will be seven CGI dwarves

Rita Skeeter will have an explicit trans identity

Keir Starmer is in it

set in 2025

set in the 2020s

Yudkowsky makes an appearance

Harry, Ron, and Hermione will all be transgender

We get AGI before it premieres

Hagrid is black

Gandalf is black

Adolf Hitler is mentioned

Fred and George have the same actor

HPMOR is referenced

China sanctioned by US + Europe

Taiwan blockaded before invasion

Japan allows use of airbases

CCP in power in 2050 [IF DON'T INVADE]

Oil shortages in South Korea or Japan

CCP in power in 2050 [IF INVADE]

Japan attacked by Chinese

China attacks Japan

Malacca Strait blockaded

Guam attacked by Chinese

Oil shortages in China

US destroys TSMC factories

US military intervention

Japanese military intervention

Taiwan surrenders

Malacca Strait blockaded > 1 month

Philippines allows use of airbases

Philippines attacked by Chinese

US combat troops in Taiwan

US aircraft carrier sunk

Chinese mainland bombed

Chinese warships sunk by US airforce

Food shortages in China

South Korea allows use of airbases

South Korean military intervention

Chinese warships sunk by US submarine

European military intervention

Indian military intervention

China attacks South Korea

Malacca Strait blockaded > 12 months

Peaceful unification by 2050 [IF DON'T INVADE]

Tactical nuclear weapon used

YES

Tony Blair (former UK Prime Minister)

Viktor Orbán (Hungarian Prime Minister)

Tô Lâm (Vietnamese Communist Party Secretary General)

Javier Milei (Argentine President)

Santiago Peña (Paraguayan President)

Recep Tayyip Erdogan (Turkish President)

Shehbaz Sharif (Pakistani Prime Minister)

Marco Rubio (US Secretary of State)

Steve Witkoff (US Special Envoy)

Jared Kushner (Trump's son-in-law)

Marc Rowan (Finance billionaire)

Ajay Banga (President of World Bank)

Robert Gabriel (US Security Adviser)

Nickolay Mladenov (Bulgarian diplomat)

Alexander Lukashenko (Belarusian President)

Benjamin Netanyahu (Israeli Prime Minister)

Edi Rama (Albanian Prime Minister)

Narendra Modi (Indian Prime Minister)

Vladimir Putin (Russian President)

Anthony Albanese (Australian Prime Minister)

Giorgia Meloni (Italian Prime Minister)

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (Brazilian President)

Xi Jinping (Chinese Communist Party Secretary General)

Mark Carney (Canadian Prime Minister)

Ursula von der Leyen (EU Commission President)

gets in any kind of trouble

gets caught

is discorevered by the end of the school year (6/5)

has it p1

is female

is male

is chinese

is indian

got their answers from a higher grade level

has it p2

confesses

gets suspended

not chinese or indian

gets expelled

[The presidential Democratic nominee and/or VP]

Other

[The presidential Republican nominee and/or VP]

Xi Jinping

[Indian PM]

Mohammed bin Salman

Vladimir Putin

[Israeli PM]

[The Pope]

[Ukrainian President]

Claudia Sheinbaum

[President of the European Commission]

Taylor Swift

MrBeast (Jimmy Donaldson)

Chinese

American

Japanese

Canadian

German

French

Indian

Italian

British

Israeli

Male

never ran for president before

Individual Net Worth < $1 million

White

perceived in mainstream news as more right-wing / centrist than Biden

has at least one brother

Pro-Israel

Governor at some point

From a swing state

Has a law degree

already ran in a primary for Democrat before

6'0 or taller

House member at some point

60 or older

Business leader

has at least two children at time.of election

Senator at some point

Actor , internet, or tv star

aoc as vp

East asian

bald

Indian

walz as vp

kamala as vp

related to trump

SpaceX

Chinese government

US government

Blue Origin

Other

European Space Agency

Russian government

Indian government

Turkish Space Agency

Other

Ruy López Opening

Nimzo-Indian Defense

Grünfeld Defense

Najdorf

>20

5-10%

11-15%

15-20%