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Prediction markets for Indonesians

In the year 2100, these will be the top 5 languages

Aug 22, 4:22 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

727623

OptionProbability

English

Hindi

Mandarin Chinese

Spanish

Modern Standard Arabic

Other

French

Bengali

Portugese

Swahili

Indonesian

Esperanto

Urdu

Russian

German

Japanese

Farsi

Turkish

Korean

26

16

14

13

11

11

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will Indonesia's cobalt mine production exceed 55,000 tonnes in 2026?

Mar 21, 2:23 AMDec 31, 5:00 AM

66.6%chance

75182

OptionVotes

NO

YES

14121

7082

Will Indonesia acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?

Feb 17, 6:12 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

3.09%chance

131502

OptionVotes

YES

NO

798

77

Will the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?

Mar 1, 4:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.21%chance

14835

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1015

943

Will Lombok tourism overtake Bali tourism by 2030?

Feb 27, 2:28 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

51%chance

7216

OptionVotes

YES

NO

136

109

Will Indonesia's commissioned alumina refinery capacity exceed 15 Mt/yr on December 31, 2027?

May 4, 5:15 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM

13.37%chance

2151

OptionVotes

YES

NO

249

49

Who will win the 2029 Indonesia Presidential Election?

Aug 18, 6:43 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4151

OptionProbability

Prabowo Subianto Djojohadikusumo

Dedi Mulyadi

Anies Rasyid Baswedan

Gibran Rakabuming Raka

Agus Harimurti Yudhoyono

Ganjar Pranowo

Mohammad Mahfud Mahmodin

Puan Maharani

Sherly Tjoanda Laos

Purbaya Yudhi Sadewa

Other

42

13

12

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

Constitutional Amendment initiated during Prabowo's First Term as President of Indonesia

Mar 11, 10:35 AMOct 31, 12:00 AM

63.64%chance

3130

OptionVotes

NO

YES

132

76

Will MBG get defunded before 2027?

Mar 12, 5:52 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.5%chance

592

OptionVotes

YES

NO

171

59

Will Prabowo Subianto be re-elected to a second term in the 2029 Indonesian Presidential Election?

May 1, 12:13 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

57.11%chance

270

OptionVotes

NO

YES

115

87

Which aircraft will be in service with the Indonesian Air Force in 2035?

Sep 3, 6:34 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

130

OptionProbability

Dassault Rafale

KAI KF-21 Boramae

TAI Kaan

Boeing F-15 Eagle

Chengdu J-10

66

66

66

50

50

Will Indonesia primary aluminum production exceed 1 Mt as of October 2027?

May 4, 5:16 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM

68.86%chance

215

OptionVotes

NO

YES

115

92

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