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Prediction markets for Industrial Revolution

2030 – 5. AI-driven job loss will be one of the most widely discussed political and social issues.

Mar 11, 12:09 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

71.93%chance

163414

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1009

979

Where will the "AI revolution" first take place?

Nov 6, 9:55 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

23783

OptionProbability

United States

China

Other

Singapore

United Kingdom

India

European Union

Switzerland

Canada

South Korea

Japan

Israel

Australia

Russia

40

15

12

8

6

5

4

3

3

1

1

1

1

1

Will AI systems and humans merge to create Cyborgs which are also the primary way that most humans live, this century?

Mar 24, 9:30 AMJan 1, 6:29 AM

59.37%chance

15591

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1123

765

Will the market of foundation models be more fragmented than in 2024 by EOY 2026?

Jul 16, 3:12 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

58.13%chance

4180

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1178

849

Hollywood American Revolution film box office top 10 by July 4, 2076?

Jul 30, 8:39 AMJul 4, 10:59 PM

35.82%chance

7109

OptionVotes

YES

NO

134

75

What will be the maximum EPA-rated range for consumer electric vehicles (EVs) sold in the United States in 2025?

Aug 23, 5:32 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

245

OptionProbability

601-650 Miles

500-550 Miles

551-600 Miles

651-700 Miles

701-750 Miles

750+ Miles

>500 Miles

44

16

16

6

6

6

6

Convince Me: Does the 1980s acceleration in obesity increase a substantial break from previous trends?[100-1k bounty]

Jul 23, 4:21 AMJul 23, 6:59 AM

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