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Prediction markets for Initial Public Offering

What will the valuation of OpenAI at IPO be?

Feb 28, 8:12 AMMar 7, 10:59 PM

185843

OptionProbability

$1000bn+

$500 - 999bn

$300 - 499bn

Below $50bn

$50 - 99bn

$100 - 199bn

$200 - 299bn

83

10

3

1

1

1

1

[Polymarket] What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

Dec 17, 1:14 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

254311

OptionProbability

$X

$STAR

$SPAX

$SX

$SEX

$MARS

$SPACE

Other

$SPC

58

13

10

5

4

4

2

2

1

Will Elon Musk's investment in Twitter beat the NASDAQ?

Nov 20, 8:16 PMDec 31, 10:00 PM

16.76%chance

263596

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1798

716

OpenAI sells/rents AI compute to external customers by end-2026?

Nov 7, 7:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.22%chance

152431

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2680

373

Will John McGuire IPO his startup by 2030?

Feb 13, 11:27 PMDec 16, 7:59 AM

12.9%chance

5700

OptionVotes

YES

NO

127

119

When will Anduril Industries IPO?

May 29, 11:56 AMDec 31, 12:55 PM

5573

OptionProbability

Q2 2027

Q4 2026

Q3 2026

Q3 2027

Q1 2027

Anduril will not IPO

Q1 2026

Q2 2026

Q4 2027

2028 or later

Q3 2025

Q4 2025

23

20

15

14

9

4

3

3

3

3

1

1

When (if ever) will Bohmian mechanics overthrow quantum theory?

Nov 12, 7:09 PMNov 13, 7:04 PM

3239

OptionProbability

Before the end of 2040

Before the end of 2045

Before the end of 2035

Before the end of 2030

15

15

10

5

Will I declare as a Symbolic Systems major?

Dec 8, 12:36 AMMay 31, 6:59 AM

89.83%chance

6237

OptionVotes

NO

YES

297

34

Will OpenAI AND xAI have an IPO in 2026?

Jan 3, 9:26 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.81%chance

8168

OptionVotes

NO

YES

104

45

Will Meter, Inc do an initial public offering or get acquired before the end of 2030?

May 25, 3:30 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

37.47%chance

13159

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1875

1696

Will federal student loan be given with zero interest in the US by 2050?

Mar 14, 12:45 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

37.97%chance

337

OptionVotes

YES

NO

175

113

Will Quora ever go public or be acquired?

Dec 6, 4:57 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

46.63%chance

431

OptionVotes

YES

NO

107

93

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