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Prediction markets for Innovation Accelerator

Will a mass driver be constructed on the Moon before 2060?

Aug 7, 6:51 PMDec 31, 9:59 PM

51.18%chance

301960

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1203

730

Will AMD release a product that is competitive with NVIDIA in the AI hardware accelerator space before 2028?

Dec 26, 8:33 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

70.56%chance

261072

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1014

904

Will a mass driver be constructed on the Moon before 2100?

Jun 10, 12:45 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM

68.65%chance

20933

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1061

947

Will Future Shock be a recognised medical condition?

Apr 11, 2:09 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

35.94%chance

12477

OptionVotes

YES

NO

279

241

Which Advance Market Commitment (AMC) will get funded first?

Sep 28, 1:35 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5455

OptionProbability

Broad-spectrum antivirals

Diagnostics for neonatal sepsis

Repurposing generic drugs

39

38

22

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