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Insider Risk News
Prediction markets for Insider Risk
Prediction markets for Insider Risk
Will I live to see 2026?
Apr 15, 12:35 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
96.92%
chance
91
10493
Option
Votes
NO
YES
4217
1240
Is 'Neuro-Cognitive Friction' the primary Great Filter stopping multi-planetary expansion?
Nov 24, 7:07 PM
Dec 31, 6:28 PM
60.39%
chance
7
1533
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1235
810
Will Veritasium make a youtube video about AI Alignment or Existential Risks in 2025?
Mar 2, 10:31 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
20.01%
chance
23
664
Option
Votes
YES
NO
354
135
Should searchbars use hotkey: `CTRL + K` or `/`?
May 12, 9:00 PM
Dec 31, 6:53 PM
6
139
Option
Probability
/
CTRL + K
Other
44
28
28
Will California repeal or significantly amend Proposition 103 by December 31, 2028?
Jan 10, 2:28 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
44.84%
chance
2
30
Option
Votes
YES
NO
111
90
Will "Comparing risk from internally-deployed AI to..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
Jun 25, 5:08 PM
Feb 1, 12:00 AM
14%
chance
1
14
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1000
1000
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