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Insider Risk News
Prediction markets for Insider Risk
Prediction markets for Insider Risk
Will I live to see 2026?
Apr 15, 12:35 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
96.13%
chance
87
8966
Option
Votes
NO
YES
3414
1268
Will the UK's AI Foundation Models Taskforce survive the Labor party for a year?
Sep 18, 3:04 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
88.76%
chance
28
3083
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1982
791
Will Veritasium make a youtube video about AI Alignment or Existential Risks in 2025?
Mar 2, 10:31 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
42.46%
chance
19
494
Option
Votes
NO
YES
203
179
Should searchbars use hotkey: `CTRL + K` or `/`?
May 12, 9:00 PM
Dec 31, 6:53 PM
4
87
Option
Probability
/
CTRL + K
Other
39
30
30
Will California repeal or significantly amend Proposition 103 by December 31, 2028?
Jan 10, 2:28 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
44.84%
chance
2
30
Option
Votes
YES
NO
111
90
Will "Comparing risk from internally-deployed AI to..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
Jun 25, 5:08 PM
Feb 1, 12:00 AM
14%
chance
1
14
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1000
1000
Amazon Sales & Inventory Management Services Guide
Aug 3, 7:46 AM
Dec 31, 7:45 AM
44.8%
chance
1
11
Option
Votes
YES
NO
111
90
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