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Insider Risk News
Prediction markets for Insider Risk
Prediction markets for Insider Risk
Does GPT-5.2 use a different base model than GPT-5.1?
Dec 12, 6:34 PM
Dec 31, 6:34 PM
56.24%
chance
10
1486
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1134
882
Will SpaceX reach a valuation of $5 Trillion by 2030?
Feb 2, 6:00 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
34.18%
chance
10
192
Option
Votes
YES
NO
139
72
Will California repeal or significantly amend Proposition 103 by December 31, 2028?
Jan 10, 2:28 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
44.84%
chance
2
30
Option
Votes
YES
NO
111
90
Will "Comparing risk from internally-deployed AI to..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
Jun 25, 5:08 PM
Feb 1, 12:00 AM
14%
chance
1
14
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1000
1000
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