OptionProbability
1+ OpenAI employees resign
2+ Anthropic employees resign
2+ OpenAI employees resign
3+ Anthropic employees resign
3+ OpenAI employees resign
4+ Anthropic employees resign
4+ OpenAI employees resign
5+ Anthropic employees resign
5+ OpenAI employees resign
48
45
24
22
18
12
11
7
6
OptionVotes
NO
YES
1644
608
Create new forms of gambling addiction and financial harm
Provide voting public with better information on candidates chances in elections
Lead to manipulation and misinformation through coordinated betting
Increase polarization by incentivizing extreme predictions
Provide public with better information about impact of policies and new legislation
Bring Jeffrey epstein back to life
Make me the President of USA
88
73
37
33
4
3
221
180
111
90
1000
100
