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Top stories

NFL Keeps ‘End Racism’ and Other Slogans in End Zones for 2025 Season

Authors

5

2 days ago

Prediction markets for Inspire Change

Will there be MAJOR, HISTORIC-LEVEL protests against Trump during his second term?

Feb 21, 9:33 PMJan 27, 4:59 AM

67.6%chance

537244

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1445

692

Will Jacob Pfau think that the Eliciting Latent Knowledge research program has achieved something important by October 20, 2026?

Oct 20, 7:33 PMOct 21, 3:59 AM

31.23%chance

142358

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1627

398

Will a new UK political party gain 50+ seats by the end of 2028? (In the house of commons)

Oct 27, 4:19 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

12.99%chance

161987

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1562

871

Will the "Mad Scientists Theory of Governance" be cited by someone important?

Nov 26, 6:57 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

74.89%chance

311936

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1629

626

Are sugar rushes real?

Dec 10, 12:45 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

23.14%chance

401645

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1088

950

Will Zelensky wear a tie in 2025?

Jul 7, 8:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14.25%chance

91539

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2453

408

Will GDP grow at more than 7% on average around 2030?

Mar 3, 9:13 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

36.24%chance

17695

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1228

832

What will the next US federal minimum wage be?

Apr 17, 3:15 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

17657

Will a Russian university make the top 50 before 2035?

Jan 15, 8:37 PMDec 29, 7:59 AM

38.08%chance

5325

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1275

784

If Celene does X will she think it's a great idea in retrospect?

Dec 12, 5:00 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

6198

OptionProbability

Ketamine (recreationally)

celebrating christmas?

Takes Estrogen

Visits the Bay in the first half of February

Ketamine (medically)

Invites @transkatgirl to live with her in her room

Takes out a life insurance plan.

66

66

66

62

61

51

34

Fetterman unfettered for "Unfettered"?

Jul 30, 6:56 PMFeb 28, 7:47 PM

46.03%chance

4148

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1071

934

Will the domino-toppling world record be broken before 2030?

May 1, 9:23 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

49.71%chance

11

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1001

999

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