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Prediction markets for Interactive

How does antimatter gravitationally interact with other antimatter.

Aug 3, 2:01 AMNov 3, 2:59 PM

7434393

OptionProbability

Attracts

Repels

Neither

85

14

1

Will more people interact with AI via voice than via text at the end of 2027?

Jan 29, 12:47 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

15.72%chance

707296

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2042

648

What will be the most popular way to interact with a portable digital devices in 2030?

Jan 23, 1:24 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

492802

OptionProbability

Touch-screen smartphones

AR/VR glasses

Other technology that WAS already commercialized in 2024

Other technology that was NOT commercialized in 2024

Rabbit-style voice agents

Humane-style pins

Brain computer interfaces

69

22

3

3

1

1

1

In 2030, will most human-computer interactions happen through a LLM-interface?

Feb 4, 7:41 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

26.6%chance

601782

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1046

1008

Will the first publicly purchasable humanoid robot have built in object interaction restrictions?

Jan 22, 5:13 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

63.28%chance

251253

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1056

923

2030 – 2. We interact with a wide range of AIs in our daily lives as naturally as we interact with other humans today

Mar 11, 12:07 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

88.83%chance

141045

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1519

876

Will Paradox Interactive publish a fantasy grand strategy game before 2030?

Dec 31, 7:27 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

57.48%chance

17719

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1215

507

Will Paradox Interactive publish a fantasy grand strategy game before the end of 2027?

Dec 31, 2:40 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

44.45%chance

25717

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1078

925

Which company will be the first to develop, announce, and allow the public to freely interact with “true” AGI?

Oct 8, 10:22 PMDec 23, 6:59 AM

9647

OptionProbability

Microsoft/OpenAI

Google (Alphabet)

Amazon/Anthropic

Other

[A Chinese Company]

Meta

Inflection AI

Tesla

IBM

Boston Dynamics (Hyundai)

Other

19

16

12

12

10

8

7

6

4

4

2

claude mcp for genome variant calling (or interacting with one's vcf/fastq files) by EOY2026?

Mar 2, 5:53 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

59.02%chance

220

OptionVotes

NO

YES

120

83

Interaction Company of California (creator of Poke AI assistant) acquired before 2028?

Sep 21, 10:47 PMJan 1, 12:24 PM

54.75%chance

110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

110

91

Will Euan Ong become an Interact Fellow?

Sep 19, 1:06 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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