Interactive News

Will more people interact with AI via voice than via text at the end of 2027?

Jan 29, 12:47 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

15.55%chance

697293

OptionVotes

YES

2058

645

What will be the most popular way to interact with a portable digital devices in 2030?

Jan 23, 1:24 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

482667

OptionProbability

Touch-screen smartphones

AR/VR glasses

Other technology that WAS already commercialized in 2024

Other technology that was NOT commercialized in 2024

Rabbit-style voice agents

Humane-style pins

Brain computer interfaces

In 2030, will most human-computer interactions happen through a LLM-interface?

Feb 4, 7:41 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

26.6%chance

601782

OptionVotes

YES

1046

1008

Will the first publicly purchasable humanoid robot have built in object interaction restrictions?

Jan 22, 5:13 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

63.28%chance

251253

OptionVotes

YES

1056

923

2030 – 2. We interact with a wide range of AIs in our daily lives as naturally as we interact with other humans today

Mar 11, 12:07 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

88.83%chance

141045

OptionVotes

YES

1519

876

Will Paradox Interactive publish a grand strategy game set in 2000s/2010s before 2031?

May 4, 12:08 PMMar 5, 10:59 PM

11.77%chance

121013

OptionVotes

YES

274

Will Paradox Interactive publish a fantasy grand strategy game before 2030?

Dec 31, 7:27 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

57.48%chance

17719

OptionVotes

YES

1215

507

Will Paradox Interactive publish a fantasy grand strategy game before the end of 2027?

Dec 31, 2:40 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

44.45%chance

25717

OptionVotes

YES

1078

925

What will be the main theme of the biggest highly-interactive reflective e-celebrity AI by 2028?

Feb 18, 11:59 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

10223

OptionProbability

Weather Forecaster

Entertainment

Sex

Other

Therapy

There will be nothing that satisfies the criteria for highly-interactive reflective e-celebrity AI

Politics

Science

Career

Education

Coaching

Community

News

claude mcp for genome variant calling (or interacting with one's vcf/fastq files) by EOY2026?

Mar 2, 5:53 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

59.02%chance

220

OptionVotes

YES

120

Interaction Company of California (creator of Poke AI assistant) acquired before 2028?

Sep 21, 10:47 PMJan 1, 12:24 PM

54.75%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

110

Will Laura Gao become an interact fellow

Sep 19, 1:06 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

OptionVotes

YES

100

Interactive News

Prediction markets for Interactive

Prediction markets for Interactive

Prediction markets for Interactive

Will more people interact with AI via voice than via text at the end of 2027?

What will be the most popular way to interact with a portable digital devices in 2030?

In 2030, will most human-computer interactions happen through a LLM-interface?

Will the first publicly purchasable humanoid robot have built in object interaction restrictions?

2030 – 2. We interact with a wide range of AIs in our daily lives as naturally as we interact with other humans today

Will Paradox Interactive publish a grand strategy game set in 2000s/2010s before 2031?

Will Paradox Interactive publish a fantasy grand strategy game before 2030?

Will Paradox Interactive publish a fantasy grand strategy game before the end of 2027?

What will be the main theme of the biggest highly-interactive reflective e-celebrity AI by 2028?

claude mcp for genome variant calling (or interacting with one's vcf/fastq files) by EOY2026?

Interaction Company of California (creator of Poke AI assistant) acquired before 2028?

Will Laura Gao become an interact fellow

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