International Exchange News

Will China overtake the United States as the world's largest economy before the end of 2050?

Apr 21, 8:10 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

53.89%chance

9744005

OptionVotes

YES

990

982

What will the next world-wide crisis be?

Nov 18, 2:28 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

497019

OptionProbability

Nothing Ever Happens (Nothing Happens)

Direct military engagement between either G20 members, or the use of nuclear weapons

An AI kills a human without explicitly being given a task

Other (10m+ deaths)

Worldwide Pandemic

350+ million climate-displaced persons annually

US Treasury payment default or missed obligation

Will another Ivy+ university lose the general ability to enroll international students by end of March 2026?

May 22, 9:57 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM

7.02%chance

276181

OptionVotes

YES

3639

275

Prospera wins fight against Honduras

Sep 12, 2:17 PMMay 1, 8:59 PM

55.66%chance

394057

OptionVotes

YES

1067

932

Which cases brought by or maintained by the federal government will be dropped during the Trump presidency?

Dec 9, 2:25 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM

72197

OptionProbability

KalshiEX LLC v. CFTC (ban on prediction markets for elections)

Clarke v. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (PredictIt Case)

Ryan v. FTC (Non-compete ban case)

United States v. Sam Bankman-Fried

U.S. and Plaintiff States v. Google LLC (Google antitrust case)

Federal Trade Commission, et al. v. Amazon.com, Inc. (Amazon antitrust case)

U.S and Plaintiff States v. Apple Inc. (Apple antitrust case)

United States v. Binance Holdings (charges against Binance for iolating several laws, including the Bank Secrecy Act, the International Emergency Economic Powers Act, and the Commodity Exchange Act)

Federal Trade Commission v. Microsoft Corp. and Activision Blizzard, Inc (Attempt to block Microsoft's merger/acquisition of Activision Blizzard)

United States v. Meta Platforms, Inc. (Meta antitrust case)

Food and Drug Administration v. Wages and White Lion Investments, LLC (E-cigarette supreme court case)

TikTok Inc. v. Merrick Garland (TikTok Ban)

United States v. Skrmetti (ban on transgender health care for minors)

100

China will directly engage in a military conflict before end of 2026

Mar 11, 12:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.66%chance

211726

OptionVotes

YES

1960

510

Which European country will be the next to lose territory?

Jan 18, 2:27 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

18374

OptionProbability

Other

Russia

Moldova

Armenia

Denmark

Spain

United Kingdom

Albania

Will the US Dollar lose Reserve Currency status before 2100?

Jun 10, 1:56 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

61.79%chance

6121

OptionVotes

YES

127

Will the US Dollar lose Reserve Currency status before 2035?

Jun 9, 5:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

55.28%chance

6100

OptionVotes

YES

111

Will the US Dollar lose Reserve Currency status before 2040?

Jun 9, 5:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50%chance

688

OptionVotes

YES

100

Will the US Dollar lose Reserve Currency status before 2050?

Jun 9, 5:26 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

58%chance

471

OptionVotes

YES

118

Will the global dollar reserve share be lower than 55% by 1/1/2030?

Apr 24, 4:42 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

52.34%chance

428

OptionVotes

YES

International Exchange News

Prediction markets for International Exchange

Prediction markets for International Exchange

Prediction markets for International Exchange

Will China overtake the United States as the world's largest economy before the end of 2050?

What will the next world-wide crisis be?

Will another Ivy+ university lose the general ability to enroll international students by end of March 2026?

Prospera wins fight against Honduras

Which cases brought by or maintained by the federal government will be dropped during the Trump presidency?

China will directly engage in a military conflict before end of 2026

Which European country will be the next to lose territory?

Will the US Dollar lose Reserve Currency status before 2100?

Will the US Dollar lose Reserve Currency status before 2035?

Will the US Dollar lose Reserve Currency status before 2040?

Will the US Dollar lose Reserve Currency status before 2050?

Will the global dollar reserve share be lower than 55% by 1/1/2030?

Latest stories