Interstellar News
Prediction markets for Interstellar
If Eliezer Yudkowsky loses his bet about UFOs not having a worldview-shattering origin, what is the reason why?
Aug 7, 10:27 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
606627
OptionProbability
21
15
14
8
6
5
5
5
5
5
3
3
3
2
1
0
0
0
Which of the following movies is the next 25 years most likely to resemble?
Aug 18, 1:46 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
655180
OptionProbability
32
23
20
4
4
4
3
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
Will a manned interstellar mission be launched before January 1, 2060?
May 19, 7:01 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
20%chance
252656
OptionVotes
2000
500
Will an interstellar mission to alpha centauri be launched before 2040?
Feb 25, 9:42 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
5.99%chance
171053
OptionVotes
1701
884
OptionProbability
31
29
23
17
Will there be a manned interstellar mission before 2250?
Sep 17, 2:31 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
74.89%chance
22786
OptionVotes
1248
869
🎞️If the AFI Top 100 Movie list updates again, which films that haven't been on it before will make it? [ADD RESPONSES]
Mar 4, 4:54 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
10641
OptionProbability
79
74
66
66
66
64
63
59
50
50
50
41
41
41
34
27
15
14
11
Will an interstellar mission to Alpha Centauri be launched by 2100?
Sep 8, 3:56 AMDec 31, 12:00 PM
68.18%chance
15472
OptionVotes
1092
682
Will NASA or any other space agency have a plan for interstellar travel by 2100
Dec 21, 8:02 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
78.33%chance
8108
OptionVotes
236
139
Will CNSA's Interstellar Express probe reach 100 AU from the sun by 2055?
Sep 17, 2:41 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
60.69%chance
215
OptionVotes
105
78
Will China launch the Interstellar Express missions before 2030?
Apr 9, 4:55 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM
59.02%chance
110
OptionVotes
80
62
How many new interstellar objects will be discovered in 2026 that will pass through the Milky Way at a future time.
Jan 29, 8:17 PMDec 31, 8:13 PM
12
OptionProbability
36
32
32

