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Prediction markets for Introduced

Will the UK introduce rationing due to food shortages by 2030?

May 28, 4:45 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

17.41%chance

324717

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2178

459

Will any OECD country effectively introduce a form of UBI before 2033?

May 3, 5:59 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

68.82%chance

494571

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1454

672

Will the EU introduce any form of direct taxation during the 2024-2029 legislative period?

May 19, 2:41 PMJun 25, 9:59 PM

22.43%chance

193648

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2117

1093

Will a presidential age limit amendment be introduced in the US Congress before 2030?

Jul 1, 9:29 PMDec 31, 11:00 AM

13.96%chance

243463

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2483

403

Will there be a state introduced or removed from the union by 2030?

Jan 12, 9:46 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

15.78%chance

281912

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1708

781

Will the US government introduce any domestic restrictions on open-weight LLMs by EOY 2026?

Jun 13, 9:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23.91%chance

181530

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1784

561

Will universal basic income be introduced in the U.S. by 2030?

Aug 1, 8:02 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

21.96%chance

351321

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1268

897

Will the European Union introduce a digital euro as a central bank digital currency (CBDC) before the end of 2026?

Apr 5, 6:48 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

13.78%chance

261261

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1465

902

Will the UK introduce mandatory conscription for any portion of its population before 2030?

Jan 27, 3:38 PMJan 3, 11:59 PM

15.57%chance

21902

OptionVotes

NO

YES

982

929

Will the United States Government introduce UBI before 2040?

May 21, 6:45 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

32.44%chance

10671

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1443

693

Will manifold introduce LLM-based spam detection by EOY 2026?

Feb 17, 2:03 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

39.7%chance

12643

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1233

811

Will like 3 and more countrys introduce a complete ban on cryptocurrency trading before January 1, 2027?

Mar 19, 4:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

41.32%chance

6215

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1192

839

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