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Prediction markets for Introduced

When will Polymarket introduce fees?

Jun 16, 3:36 PMDec 31, 4:33 PM

1521682

OptionProbability

2025

2028 or later (or never)

2026

2027

79

8

7

6

Will the UK introduce rationing due to food shortages by 2030?

May 28, 4:45 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

17.74%chance

314686

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2153

464

Will any OECD country effectively introduce a form of UBI before 2033?

May 3, 5:59 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

69.74%chance

474446

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1486

658

Will the UK introduce National Service before 2028?

May 27, 7:52 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

10.72%chance

184035

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2886

346

Will the EU introduce any form of direct taxation during the 2024-2029 legislative period?

May 19, 2:41 PMJun 25, 9:59 PM

22.43%chance

193648

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2117

1093

Will a presidential age limit amendment be introduced in the US Congress before 2030?

Jul 1, 9:29 PMDec 31, 11:00 AM

13.96%chance

243463

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2483

403

Will there be a state introduced or removed from the union by 2030?

Jan 12, 9:46 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

15.78%chance

281912

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1708

781

Will universal basic income be introduced in the U.S. by 2030?

Aug 1, 8:02 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

21.96%chance

351321

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1268

897

Will someone successfully introduce polar bears to the south pole by mid 2031

Nov 2, 2:04 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

9.03%chance

161174

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2106

803

Will the UK introduce mandatory conscription for any portion of its population before 2030?

Jan 27, 3:38 PMJan 3, 11:59 PM

15.47%chance

20842

OptionVotes

NO

YES

981

935

Will the European Union introduce a digital euro as a central bank digital currency (CBDC) before the end of 2026?

Apr 5, 6:48 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

15.42%chance

18568

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1320

927

Will Manifold introduce an AI-based feature that automatically resolves markets by 2030?

Dec 29, 4:17 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

82.44%chance

15290

OptionVotes

YES

NO

988

966

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