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Prediction markets for Invest

Will Tesla (TSLA) stock price be above 2000 by the end of 2027? (Ark Invest price target - base case)

Apr 21, 4:34 AMDec 31, 6:00 PM

7%chance

5392340

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2345

815

Will Tesla (TSLA) stock price be above 1400 by the end of 2027? (Ark Invest price target - bear case)

Jun 19, 10:10 PMDec 31, 6:00 PM

16.28%chance

3356351

OptionVotes

YES

NO

971

962

Will Tesla (TSLA) stock price be above 1500 by the end of 2026? (Ark Invest price target - base case)

Apr 2, 6:27 PMJan 1, 9:00 PM

5.51%chance

4331017

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3437

667

Will all 500 billion dollars from Project Stargate actually get invested within four years?

Jan 22, 3:37 AMJan 29, 4:59 AM

22.28%chance

569159

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7326

4245

If I buy physical indium for investment, will I regret it in 5 years from now?

May 24, 1:59 AMMay 5, 3:59 AM

63.05%chance

796800

OptionVotes

NO

YES

14152

8635

Will some U.S. investment bankers be negatively affected financially due to AI by end of 2025?

Jan 4, 5:36 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

26.27%chance

354060

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1458

759

Will it be possible for users to invest in manifold questions before 2026?

May 18, 10:29 PMMar 5, 10:59 PM

18.1%chance

122061

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2127

470

AI Warning Signs: Before 2030, will an AI system make $50M in realized profits from traditional investments and trades?

Jan 18, 7:15 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

36.69%chance

91603

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1314

761

Will Elon Musk's investment in Twitter beat the NASDAQ?

Nov 20, 8:16 PMDec 31, 10:00 PM

19.12%chance

251442

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1616

756

Will U.S. 401(k) plans widely allow direct investment in cryptocurrencies by 2030?

May 27, 5:15 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.02%chance

5882

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1882

531

Will the US sovereign wealth fund invest in Blackstone or TPG by 2028?

Feb 3, 11:15 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

38.46%chance

5482

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1265

790

Will Marc Andreessen start a new company (not an investment firm) by 2026?

Dec 6, 11:57 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

43.28%chance

6350

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1145

874

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