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Prediction markets for Investor and Analyst Day

When will the tesla share price first exceed $500?

Jan 2, 11:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

122623

OptionProbability

It won't, not before 2027

May 2026

April 2026

June 2026

July 2026

August 2026

October 2026

September 2026

November 2026

December 2026

March 2026

January 2026

February 2026

48

19

18

13

5

5

5

3

3

3

2

0

0

Will TSLA reach $900 before 2028

Feb 9, 5:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

34%chance

12700

OptionVotes

YES

NO

139

72

Will Aurora Innovation's self-driving trucks drive 100M miles by March 2027?

Mar 16, 8:43 AMMar 15, 6:59 AM

21.31%chance

5130

OptionVotes

YES

NO

290

97

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