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Top stories

Opendoor Shares Rise 14%-20% After Regaining Nasdaq Compliance, Cancels Reverse Split Meeting; Xponential Fitness Divests CycleBar and Rumble

Opendoor Shares Rise 14%-20% After Regaining Nasdaq Compliance, Cancels Reverse Split Meeting; Xponential Fitness Divests CycleBar and Rumble

Authors

5

2 days ago

Prediction markets for Investor Day

Will GPT-5 make Manifold think AI-caused extinction is more likely?

Jan 30, 5:05 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

58.8%chance

553918

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1035

875

After GPT 5 is launched, will Microsoft's stock rise in the following two weeks?

Jan 26, 1:01 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

52%chance

31935

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1256

556

Which of these food delivery services will still exist in 2026?

Nov 27, 8:33 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM

11527

OptionProbability

Doordash

Uber Eats

Deliveroo

Grubhub

86

80

71

70

Will the Tumbles Financial Complex 2.0 be late to pay back a loan?

May 1, 6:32 PMDec 31, 5:01 AM

72%chance

11251

OptionVotes

NO

YES

160

62

IDX Composite drops more than 5% within 7 days conditional on Sri Mulyani's departure

Mar 13, 3:15 PMSep 1, 12:00 AM

86.21%chance

4178

OptionVotes

NO

YES

250

40

Will Aurora Innovation's self-driving trucks drive 100M miles by March 2027?

Mar 16, 8:43 AMMar 15, 6:59 AM

21.31%chance

5130

OptionVotes

YES

NO

290

97

Citigroup stock over $100 at EOY2025?

Aug 1, 5:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50%chance

372

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

I reach 100+ trades by August 29th?

Jul 28, 7:14 AMAug 29, 4:00 AM

63.22%chance

351

OptionVotes

NO

YES

131

76

Bullish ($BLSH) closes green on first trading day?

Aug 6, 2:04 AMAug 14, 3:59 AM

44.86%chance

320

OptionVotes

YES

NO

111

90

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