iOS AI News

What kind of device will the Johnny Ive OpenAI collaboration first release? [Suggest options]

May 22, 7:01 AMDec 31, 7:56 AM

425357

OptionProbability

Smart speaker (Amazon Echo-style)

Pen

Earbuds

Other

AR/VR Goggles

Phone

Watch

Wearable badge

Will a Jony Ive and Sam Altman collaboration lead to a hardware device intended for consumer use, released before 2030.

Sep 28, 1:58 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

73.01%chance

285333

OptionVotes

YES

1356

824

What will be true of the OpenAI / Jony Ive device?

May 22, 3:54 PMDec 31, 4:49 PM

404367

OptionProbability

Has a microphone

Will have a battery

Requires a network connection

US retail price <= $500 on launch

Has notification LEDs

Can play music from Spotify

Has a camera

Will have a vibration motor for notifications

Uses a normal OpenAI model (i.e. available through ChatGPT / API to non-device-owners)

On sale to the public (no pre-order, no invite-only) before 1st December 2027

Sells more than 100 thousand units within 12 months of its release

Is donut shaped

Requires a ChatGPT Plus or higher subscription

Will come in >= 3 colors on launch

Sells more than a million units within 12 months of its release

Is wearable

Has any screen

US retail price <= $300 on launch

Cancelled before put on general sale

Designed to be worn on head (e.g. glasses, hat)

Sells more than 5 million units within 12 months of its release

On sale to the public (no pre-order, no invite-only) before 1st January 2026

On sale to the public (no pre-order, no invite-only) before 1st June 2026

Biggest AI romance app more users than biggest human romance app on July 1, 2028?

Jun 27, 9:02 PMJul 1, 11:59 PM

17%chance

172785

OptionVotes

YES

2225

456

Will an available out-of-the-box LLM get >40% win rate on Slay the Spire A20 before August 2027?

Jul 31, 1:09 PMJul 31, 11:59 PM

41.94%chance

172227

OptionVotes

YES

1176

850

Will Apple ship a Gemini-powered Siri update to iPhones in 2026?

Mar 26, 11:57 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

52%chance

121212

OptionVotes

YES

243

149

Выйдет ли Subtransit Drive в сентябре

Aug 14, 8:25 PMSep 30, 11:59 PM

47.48%chance

51048

OptionVotes

YES

105

Will I automate Vanguard rebalancing with an AI agent by 2026?

Jan 17, 7:10 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

34.13%chance

6605

OptionVotes

YES

954

180

When will freedom.gov go live?

Mar 4, 5:51 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

2369

OptionProbability

September 1, 2026 – Dec 31, 2026

Jan 1, 2027 +

May 1, 2026 – August 31, 2026

On or Before April 30, 2026

Will the terminal UI be the default interface for Claude code on 1 Jan 2027?

Feb 7, 7:42 AMJan 1, 12:00 AM

38%chance

4239

OptionVotes

YES

128

Will Manifold create an actual Manifold Mobile App before July 2027?

Jul 7, 1:27 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

40.61%chance

8165

OptionVotes

YES

121

Which acquired improv theatre will be dumped first?

Feb 11, 1:45 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

1140

OptionProbability

Second City

UCB

None, these will be the first-ever private equity acquisitions to thrive

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What kind of device will the Johnny Ive OpenAI collaboration first release? [Suggest options]

Will a Jony Ive and Sam Altman collaboration lead to a hardware device intended for consumer use, released before 2030.

What will be true of the OpenAI / Jony Ive device?

Biggest AI romance app more users than biggest human romance app on July 1, 2028?

Will an available out-of-the-box LLM get >40% win rate on Slay the Spire A20 before August 2027?

Will Apple ship a Gemini-powered Siri update to iPhones in 2026?

Выйдет ли Subtransit Drive в сентябре

Will I automate Vanguard rebalancing with an AI agent by 2026?

When will freedom.gov go live?

Will the terminal UI be the default interface for Claude code on 1 Jan 2027?

Will Manifold create an actual Manifold Mobile App before July 2027?

Which acquired improv theatre will be dumped first?

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