IP News

Will Apple announce a foldable iPhone by the end of 2026?

Jan 1, 6:46 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

91.11%chance

33095892

OptionVotes

YES

19375

4265

Will GiveWell fund Intermittent preventive treatment in infants (IPTi) for malaria by 1st January 2027?

Dec 18, 12:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

53.98%chance

2668193

OptionVotes

YES

6211

4254

[ACX 2026] Will OpenAI file for an IPO during 2026?

Jan 6, 11:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14.52%chance

9952878

OptionVotes

YES

9485

3955

Will Polymarket IPO before 2028?

Jul 22, 10:19 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

52.19%chance

5042151

OptionVotes

YES

10448

9571

Will Anthropic have a higher market cap than OpenAI after both IPO?

Jan 31, 9:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

69.26%chance

12139591

OptionVotes

YES

15461

6143

Which combinations of technology will cause most disruption the world in the next 25 years?

Feb 18, 5:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10217204

OptionProbability

Bitcoin + AI

Energy harvesting + sensor ubiquity

AI + Medicine

AI + Genetics

Social media + AI

Bitcoin + XR

AI + Spatial Computing

AI + Internet

AI + Robotics

AI + Physics

Fintech + AI

AI + Advanced Materials

AI + Bioengineering

Quantum Computing + Materials Science

3D Printing + Materials Science

BCI + Internet

AI+Blockchain

Mobile Technology + Social Media

XR + AI

AI + Prediction Markets

AI + IoT

AI + VR

Nuclear Energy + Transportation

Wearable Technology + Telemedicine

GPS + Real-time Traffic Data

Haptics + BCI

AI + fossil fuels

Vertical farming + Solar

BCI + Remote sensing

Decentralized IP Verification and Education (Blockchain Credentials)

BCI + Dating Apps

Predictive Markets and Constitutional Alignment of AI

Will Apple power Siri using an AI thats the IP of Anthropic before 2026?

May 25, 4:58 PMJan 31, 10:59 PM

5.18%chance

344829

OptionVotes

YES

786

Which franchise will FromSoftware’s next officially announced game belong to?

Apr 5, 1:51 PMDec 31, 1:37 PM

7191

OptionProbability

New IP (completely original title, not set in any existing FromSoftware universe)

Dark Souls

Armored Core

Sekiro

Other

Bloodborne

Elden Ring

Duskbloods

Cross-over / multiple games

Will Warner Bros sell the Looney Tunes IP before 2029?

Mar 28, 5:15 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.59%chance

9156

OptionVotes

YES

175

Next General Nintendo Direct Prop Market (Add answers)

Jul 13, 10:36 PMAug 12, 11:59 PM

5125

OptionProbability

Ocarina of Time release date announced

Happens in September

Happens on or after September 14, 2026 (UTC)

Animal Crossing mainline sequel reveal

Pikmin 5 reveal

Fire Emblem remakes of Genealogy of the Holy War announcement

Luigi's Mansion 4 reveal

Something I subjectively would describe as "Super Cool"

New 3D Mario game reveal

Kid Icarus port or sequel announcement

New hardware accessory (e.g., Switch 2 dock/controller) reveal

New IP developed by Nintendo revealed

Star Fox new game announcement

F-Zero new game announcement

Will any DeSci DAO fund any IP which produces $10m of revenue by 2030

Aug 30, 8:42 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

53.22%chance

3101

OptionVotes

YES

Will AI developed molecules or drugs be the dominant sources of new biopharma IP by Sep 5 2029?

Sep 5, 10:48 PMMay 4, 9:59 PM

73.75%chance

5100

OptionVotes

YES

168

IP News

Prediction markets for IP

Prediction markets for IP

Prediction markets for IP

Will Apple announce a foldable iPhone by the end of 2026?

Will GiveWell fund Intermittent preventive treatment in infants (IPTi) for malaria by 1st January 2027?

[ACX 2026] Will OpenAI file for an IPO during 2026?

Will Polymarket IPO before 2028?

Will Anthropic have a higher market cap than OpenAI after both IPO?

Which combinations of technology will cause most disruption the world in the next 25 years?

Will Apple power Siri using an AI thats the IP of Anthropic before 2026?

Which franchise will FromSoftware’s next officially announced game belong to?

Will Warner Bros sell the Looney Tunes IP before 2029?

Next General Nintendo Direct Prop Market (Add answers)

Will any DeSci DAO fund any IP which produces $10m of revenue by 2030

Will AI developed molecules or drugs be the dominant sources of new biopharma IP by Sep 5 2029?

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