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IP News

When will Anthropic IPO?

Jul 29, 5:37 PMDec 31, 5:59 PM

81192818

OptionProbability

2026 Q4

2027 Q1

2027 Q2

2026 Q3

2027 Q3

2028

2029 or later or not at all

2027 Q4

2026 Q2

2025 Q4

2026 Q1

2025 Q3

21

21

14

13

8

7

7

5

3

1

1

0

Will Apple announce a foldable iPhone by the end of 2026?

Jan 1, 6:46 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

75.68%chance

30575155

OptionVotes

NO

YES

8484

6150

Will GiveWell fund Intermittent preventive treatment in infants (IPTi) for malaria by 1st January 2027?

Dec 18, 12:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

58.61%chance

2267678

OptionVotes

NO

YES

6755

3832

Will Polymarket IPO before 2028?

Jul 22, 10:19 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

54.43%chance

3739731

OptionVotes

NO

YES

10929

9150

Will SpaceX IPO before the end of 2026?

May 2, 6:23 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

78.4%chance

5625334

OptionVotes

NO

YES

14467

7761

Which combinations of technology will cause most disruption the world in the next 25 years?

Feb 18, 5:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9716912

OptionProbability

Energy harvesting + sensor ubiquity

Bitcoin + AI

AI + Genetics

AI + Medicine

Social media + AI

Bitcoin + XR

AI + Spatial Computing

AI + Internet

AI + Robotics

AI + Physics

Fintech + AI

AI + Advanced Materials

AI + Bioengineering

Quantum Computing + Materials Science

3D Printing + Materials Science

AI+Blockchain

BCI + Internet

Mobile Technology + Social Media

XR + AI

AI + Prediction Markets

AI + IoT

AI + VR

Nuclear Energy + Transportation

Wearable Technology + Telemedicine

GPS + Real-time Traffic Data

Haptics + BCI

AI + fossil fuels

Vertical farming + Solar

BCI + Remote sensing

Decentralized IP Verification and Education (Blockchain Credentials)

BCI + Dating Apps

Predictive Markets and Constitutional Alignment of AI

34

33

33

32

29

28

28

25

24

23

23

23

23

22

20

19

19

18

17

17

17

16

14

14

14

13

12

11

11

8

5

3

Will Anthropic have a higher market cap than OpenAI after both IPO?

Jan 31, 9:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

35.69%chance

8616597

OptionVotes

YES

NO

12850

7975

[ACX 2026] Will OpenAI file for an IPO during 2026?

Jan 6, 11:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50.84%chance

528586

OptionVotes

NO

YES

6672

2629

Will Apple power Siri using an AI thats the IP of Anthropic before 2026?

May 25, 4:58 PMJan 31, 10:59 PM

1.1%chance

284361

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1940

28

Will AI developed molecules or drugs be the dominant sources of new biopharma IP by Sep 5 2029?

Sep 5, 10:48 PMMay 4, 9:59 PM

73.75%chance

5100

OptionVotes

NO

YES

168

60

Will Warner Bros sell the Looney Tunes IP before 2029?

Mar 28, 5:15 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31%chance

882

OptionVotes

YES

NO

149

67

Will any DeSci DAO fund any IP which produces $10m of revenue by 2030

Aug 30, 8:42 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

53.22%chance

245

OptionVotes

NO

YES

73

67

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