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Prediction markets for IRA

Will Iran's regime fall in 2026?

Dec 31, 12:31 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.63%chance

19683068732

OptionVotes

YES

NO

47067

4108

Will the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran fall by 2030?

Dec 16, 2:35 AMJan 1, 9:59 PM

23.22%chance

211376786

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1819

550

Will the US invade Iran before the end of 2026?

Jan 1, 5:39 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

10.98%chance

255105449

OptionVotes

YES

NO

14559

2182

Will Iran become more authoritarian in 2026?

Mar 13, 8:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

74.84%chance

9011124

OptionVotes

NO

YES

8270

4949

What will be the IRS limit for IRA contributions in 2027?

Nov 14, 6:13 AMNov 16, 7:59 AM

54161

OptionProbability

8000

7500

8500

Other

9000

53

35

5

5

2

Will the "Backdoor" Roth IRA loophole be removed by 2030?

Jan 22, 6:38 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

25.38%chance

10425

OptionVotes

YES

NO

257

183

Couriway's Gridlock S1: Track EU Winner

Jul 20, 9:29 AMDec 31, 2:59 PM

120

OptionProbability

Other

TigerauraMC & mdew_

hackingnoises & 7rowl

TNT444 & Maw1ch

Eallyos & Noctys_Ira

Ego_Yoahima123 & Jasgamer409

arrf & darkleonard2

WheezyMoss & _CammyB

JankoRex & _Emex

rqichu & Blad_d

BERKSTAR & LexTank

cieiel & KenanKardes

AutomattPLUS & okshey

fujge & iinterp

Moisteh & usefulsister24

Pixxelly & DemiSword

FerreMC & Arcn

20

5

5

5

5

5

5

5

5

5

5

5

5

5

5

5

5

Will the US DOE FEOC graphite waiver (IRA $7,500 EV credit) be active on December 31, 2026?

Apr 7, 2:27 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM

69.06%chance

115

OptionVotes

YES

NO

115

45

Will the US DOE FEOC graphite waiver (IRA $7,500 EV credit) be active on June 30, 2027?

Apr 7, 2:27 PMJun 30, 4:00 AM

37.06%chance

110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

110

80

Will more than 50 percent of IRA Sections 45, 45Y, 48 and 48E tax credits be cut by EOY2027

Jul 15, 1:03 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will less then 50 percent of IRA 30C Alternative Fuel Vehicle Refueling Property Credit survive thru EOY2027?

Jul 15, 1:10 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will the U.S. or Israel be at war with Iran at any point during the year in which global peak oil is reached?

May 10, 2:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Yes, Israel

Yes, Both U.S. and Israel

No, and the year is before 2030

Peak oil occurs 2030 or later

25

25

25

25

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