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Prediction markets for IRA

Will Iran's regime fall in 2026?

Dec 31, 12:31 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

28.58%chance

10051131697

OptionVotes

YES

NO

12130

8729

Will the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran fall by 2030?

Dec 16, 2:35 AMJan 1, 9:59 PM

56.29%chance

163348152

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1136

882

Will the Iranian regime be overthrown?

Jan 3, 3:16 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29.79%chance

5511142

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7908

2969

Will Israel strike Iran's nuclear facilities before the end of 2026?

Jul 7, 8:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

64.73%chance

407451

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1356

739

US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026

Jan 13, 11:54 PMJun 29, 11:59 PM

62.66%chance

466733

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1296

772

What will be the IRS limit for IRA contributions in 2027?

Nov 14, 6:13 AMNov 16, 7:59 AM

33681

OptionProbability

7500

8000

8500

Other

9000

54

23

11

8

4

What will happen first in Iran?

Jan 6, 10:44 PMJan 7, 10:43 PM

14800

OptionProbability

US or Israel attacks Iran

Khamenei is out as Ayatollah

81

19

Will the "Backdoor" Roth IRA loophole be removed by 2030?

Jan 22, 6:38 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

25.38%chance

10425

OptionVotes

YES

NO

257

183

Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by the end of 2050?

Jan 5, 5:29 AMDec 30, 9:59 PM

58.99%chance

11379

OptionVotes

NO

YES

114

105

Spirit Awards: Best Director

Jan 23, 12:38 AMMar 1, 11:59 PM

4144

OptionProbability

Ira Sachs - Peter Hujar’s Day

Clint Bentley - Train Dreams

Mary Bronstein - If I Had Legs I’d Kick You

Lloyd Lee Choi - Lucky Lu

Eva Victor - Sorry, Baby

30

23

17

17

14

Will more than 50 percent of IRA Sections 45, 45Y, 48 and 48E tax credits be cut by EOY2027

Jul 15, 1:03 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will less then 50 percent of IRA 30C Alternative Fuel Vehicle Refueling Property Credit survive thru EOY2027?

Jul 15, 1:10 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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