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Prediction markets for IRA

Will Iran's regime fall in 2026?

Dec 31, 12:31 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26.38%chance

17652364712

OptionVotes

YES

NO

13019

8392

Will the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran fall by 2030?

Dec 16, 2:35 AMJan 1, 9:59 PM

57.09%chance

194359148

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1154

867

How many weeks will the US–Iran war last?

Mar 7, 9:10 AMApr 8, 9:59 PM

355188029

OptionProbability

Above 1 week

Above 2 weeks (Mar 14)

Above 3 weeks (Mar 21)

Above 4 weeks (Mar 28)

Above 6 weeks (Apr 11)

Above 9 weeks (May 2)

Above 13 weeks (May 30)

Above 20 weeks (Jul 18)

Above 35 weeks (Oct 31)

Above 55 weeks (Mar 20, 2027)

Above 80 weeks (Sep 11, 2027)

Above 110 weeks (Apr 8, 2028)

100

100

100

95

90

71

52

42

25

19

15

11

Will the US put boots on the ground in Iran in 2026?

Mar 4, 3:17 AMJan 1, 3:16 AM

68%chance

771155580

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1396

741

Will the Iranian regime be overthrown?

Jan 3, 3:16 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26.38%chance

8325775

OptionVotes

YES

NO

8560

2715

Will the US invade Iran before the end of 2026?

Jan 1, 5:39 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

48.31%chance

14121749

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5444

4792

Will Iran become more authoritarian in 2026?

Mar 13, 8:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

71.63%chance

859093

OptionVotes

NO

YES

7445

5250

What will be the IRS limit for IRA contributions in 2027?

Nov 14, 6:13 AMNov 16, 7:59 AM

33681

OptionProbability

7500

8000

8500

Other

9000

54

23

11

8

4

Will the "Backdoor" Roth IRA loophole be removed by 2030?

Jan 22, 6:38 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

25.38%chance

10425

OptionVotes

YES

NO

257

183

Luiz "Dudu" Eduardo, irá ser liberado para jogar volei?

Mar 16, 3:15 PMMar 28, 3:13 PM

44.59%chance

2210

OptionVotes

YES

NO

111

90

Will more than 50 percent of IRA Sections 45, 45Y, 48 and 48E tax credits be cut by EOY2027

Jul 15, 1:03 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will less then 50 percent of IRA 30C Alternative Fuel Vehicle Refueling Property Credit survive thru EOY2027?

Jul 15, 1:10 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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