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Top stories

Trump Administration Cancels Biden-Era Wind Farm, Ends All of the Above Policy, Reevaluates Offshore Wind Rules Amid IRA Tax Credit Debate

US Domestic Policy

Trump Administration Cancels Biden-Era Wind Farm, Ends All of the Above Policy, Reevaluates Offshore Wind Rules Amid IRA Tax Credit Debate

Authors

6

3 days ago

Prediction markets for IRA

Will the US be at war with Iran before the end of 2025

Dec 7, 6:45 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

13.21%chance

393242973

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4164

527

Will the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran fall by 2030?

Dec 16, 2:35 AMJan 1, 9:59 PM

53.08%chance

91101678

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1064

940

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by the end of 2025?

Oct 20, 9:40 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

9.99%chance

34796820

OptionVotes

YES

NO

21324

8927

US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?

Jun 10, 7:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14.5%chance

10238602

OptionVotes

YES

NO

21130

8165

US strikes Iran on 2+ separate days in 2025?

Jun 18, 7:55 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50%chance

9429764

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by 2030?

Mar 3, 10:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

28%chance

589655

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1613

561

Will the US sustain more than 100 casualties in 2025 as a result of the conflict with Iran?

Jun 22, 2:33 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

7.98%chance

221073

OptionVotes

YES

NO

340

29

What will be the IRS limit for IRA contributions in 2026?

Jan 2, 9:47 PMNov 2, 2:59 AM

6698

OptionProbability

7500

7000

8000

Other

45

19

19

17

Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by the end of 2050?

Jan 5, 5:29 AMDec 30, 9:59 PM

59.53%chance

10378

OptionVotes

NO

YES

115

104

Will the "Backdoor" Roth IRA loophole be removed by 2030?

Jan 22, 6:38 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

14.21%chance

10264

OptionVotes

YES

NO

418

145

Will less then 50 percent of IRA 30C Alternative Fuel Vehicle Refueling Property Credit survive thru EOY2027?

Jul 15, 1:10 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will more than 50 percent of IRA Sections 45, 45Y, 48 and 48E tax credits be cut by EOY2027

Jul 15, 1:03 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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