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Prediction markets for Issues

In 2028, will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion?

Feb 20, 10:58 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

86.93%chance

26572371508

OptionVotes

NO

YES

13882

1435

Health issues from 100% Huel diet discovered by 2035?

Sep 21, 9:08 PMDec 28, 11:59 PM

69.61%chance

10535467

OptionVotes

NO

YES

15133

6608

Will Donald Trump issue Elon Musk a Presidential Pardon while he is in office

Feb 6, 8:52 PMJan 22, 7:59 AM

19.27%chance

6814472

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2047

489

Will AI be among the top 5 most important issues for voters in the lead up to the 2028 election?

Feb 22, 12:32 AMJan 29, 4:59 AM

73.27%chance

554976

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1644

560

2030 – 5. AI-driven job loss will be one of the most widely discussed political and social issues.

Mar 11, 12:09 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

71.93%chance

163414

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1009

979

Will an AI play a pivotal role in solving an important political issue by 2033?

Mar 14, 11:02 PMMar 14, 11:59 PM

70.03%chance

722785

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1725

976

Will wild-animal suffering be a mainstream moral issue by the beginning of 2100?

Mar 26, 1:03 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

50.66%chance

351469

OptionVotes

NO

YES

997

978

Will AI be a bigger political issue than China by the end of 2028?

Jan 13, 1:53 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

67%chance

331306

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1576

465

Will this issue with Rust's type safety be fixed before the release of edition 2027?

Sep 12, 1:14 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

65.19%chance

131082

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1178

888

Will the US Government issue 50-year bonds before 2030?

May 15, 1:29 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27.97%chance

13450

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1076

962

US issues 85k new H-1B visas in FY2027? (Conditional on 100k fee implementation)

Sep 22, 4:56 AMSep 30, 11:59 PM

48.53%chance

2170

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5190

5003

Will the USITC issue a final affirmative injury determination on unwrought palladium from Russia by Sep 30, 2026?

Feb 16, 5:48 PMSep 29, 5:48 PM

72.2%chance

278

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1078

968

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