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Prediction markets for Issues

In 2028, will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion?

Feb 20, 10:58 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

77.49%chance

25612232999

OptionVotes

NO

YES

10617

2119

Health issues from 100% Huel diet discovered by 2035?

Sep 21, 9:08 PMDec 28, 11:59 PM

60.59%chance

10232648

OptionVotes

NO

YES

12399

8065

Will Donald Trump issue Elon Musk a Presidential Pardon while he is in office

Feb 6, 8:52 PMJan 22, 7:59 AM

19.27%chance

6814472

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2047

489

Will AI be among the top 5 most important issues for voters in the lead up to the 2028 election?

Feb 22, 12:32 AMJan 29, 4:59 AM

64.31%chance

524635

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1343

695

In 2028, will AI be a top 3 political issue for voters?

Dec 11, 7:17 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

47%chance

233355

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1063

942

Will an AI play a pivotal role in solving an important political issue by 2033?

Mar 14, 11:02 PMMar 14, 11:59 PM

70.03%chance

722785

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1725

976

Will Artificial Intelligence (AI) policy be an explicitly partisan political issue before 2030 🤖🇺🇸⚖️💻

Mar 20, 3:01 PMJan 1, 12:59 PM

70.04%chance

381826

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1552

630

Will wild-animal suffering be a mainstream moral issue by the beginning of 2100?

Mar 26, 1:03 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

50.66%chance

351469

OptionVotes

NO

YES

997

978

Will AI be a bigger political issue than China by the end of 2028?

Jan 13, 1:53 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

66.55%chance

311141

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1565

471

Will this issue with Rust's type safety be fixed before the release of edition 2027?

Sep 12, 1:14 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

65.19%chance

131082

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1178

888

Will Trump issue a pardon / commutation for a group of people (not by name) during his term?

Aug 25, 10:04 PMJan 20, 11:59 PM

36.23%chance

6439

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1327

754

US issues 85k new H-1B visas in FY2027? (Conditional on 100k fee implementation)

Sep 22, 4:56 AMSep 30, 11:59 PM

48.53%chance

2170

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5190

5003

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