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Prediction markets for Italians

what will be the result of the Italian constitutional referendum on March 22nd-23rd?

Mar 21, 11:05 AMMar 24, 1:59 PM

20%chance

164127

OptionVotes

YES

NO

200

50

Will the current Italian government last for the entire term of office?

Sep 4, 6:15 PMOct 22, 9:59 PM

74%chance

292078

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1723

233

Will the italian government last for the entire term of office?

Mar 8, 12:37 AMMar 1, 11:00 AM

80.91%chance

242042

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1826

131

What wins in the 2026 Italian constitutional referendum?

Dec 23, 9:57 PMMar 24, 11:59 PM

20%chance

291930

OptionVotes

YES

NO

390

111

Will Michele Boldrin (Italian economist & professor) partecipate at the next elections in Italy?

Apr 15, 5:50 PMOct 21, 10:59 PM

57.65%chance

151521

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1400

302

Will an Italian conservative party remain in office until 2027 ?

Dec 17, 10:28 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

94.68%chance

11679

OptionVotes

NO

YES

553

35

What % of the vote will ORA! get in the next Italian elections?

Nov 11, 1:26 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

4475

OptionProbability

<0.5%

3% - 4%

6%>

0.5% - 1%

1% - 2%

2% - 3%

4% - 5%

5% - 6%

51

8

8

7

7

7

7

7

Will life expectancy in any Italian province achieve 90 years before end of 2040?

Mar 6, 10:33 AMDec 31, 7:59 PM

56.82%chance

5205

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1147

872

Will the current Italian government complete its full term until 2027?

Jan 2, 8:58 PMOct 22, 9:59 PM

63.86%chance

9202

OptionVotes

NO

YES

133

75

Which parties will be part of the next Italian government?

Jan 7, 6:49 PMDec 31, 6:47 PM

3161

OptionProbability

Brothers of Italy (Fratelli d'Italia)

Forza Italia

Democratic Party (Partito Democratico)

League (Lega)

Noi Moderati

Five Star Movement (Movimento 5 Stelle)

Action - Italia Viva (Azione/Italia Viva)

Alleanza Verdi e Sinistra (AVS)

Più Europa

Free and Equal (Liberi e Uguali)

76

59

59

54

41

34

34

30

17

10

Will I discover anything AI-generated, consistently more amusing than Italian brainrot in 2026?

Feb 2, 4:52 PMDec 31, 4:51 PM

40%chance

10108

OptionVotes

YES

NO

122

82

Will we hear the Italian National Anthem in the Japanese Grand Prix?

Mar 14, 9:06 PMMar 28, 11:59 PM

48.46%chance

325

OptionVotes

YES

NO

103

97

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