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Top stories

Bruckheimer Says Depp Open to Returning for 'Pirates of the Caribbean' 6

Bruckheimer Says Depp Open to Returning for 'Pirates of the Caribbean' 6

Authors

12

7 days ago

Prediction markets for Jack Sparrow

Will Meta have a "mid-level" AI engineer that can write code by the end of 2025?

Jan 13, 7:06 PMDec 31, 8:59 PM

13.23%chance

7149755

OptionVotes

YES

NO

25445

4235

Which of my 2025 chess goals will i achieve?

Jan 2, 12:37 PMJan 1, 8:59 PM

2921730

OptionProbability

Beat a 1900+ rated player

Beat a 2000+ rated player

Play at least 40 FIDE-rated games

Qualify for the national championship

Solve 2000+ puzzles

Have a TPR of 2100+ in a single tournament (at least 4 rounds)

Average TPR of 2000+ for the year

Qualify for the 2026 Olympiad team

Gain 100+ rating points at any point in the year

100

100

94

56

46

36

29

27

25

Will I run a sub-45 min 10k by the end of this year?

Jan 16, 4:54 PMDec 31, 8:59 PM

12.21%chance

136262

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7301

556

Will Oda add Jack Sparrow to One Piece?

Aug 19, 2:47 PMJan 1, 12:59 AM

14.66%chance

272261

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2412

415

Will Hans Niemann become World Chess Champion within the next 25 years?

Jan 31, 4:54 PMDec 31, 8:59 PM

12.75%chance

251975

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1009

539

Will Buggy do something during Elbaf Arc?

Apr 6, 2:31 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

67.41%chance

221515

OptionVotes

YES

NO

205

189

Will Pirates of the Caribbean do an internet piracy themed spinoff before 2028

Feb 19, 3:03 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

3.45%chance

101477

OptionVotes

YES

NO

725

129

Will Daryl Morey win an NBA title as a team executive before 2035?

Feb 10, 8:50 AMJan 1, 8:59 PM

15.05%chance

9586

OptionVotes

YES

NO

600

242

Will an American player win NBA MVP before the start of the 2030-2031 NBA regular reason?

May 11, 9:28 AMOct 31, 11:59 PM

61.17%chance

7166

OptionVotes

NO

YES

126

80

Will the WSJ do an expose-style piece on Bryan Johnson before 2027?

Feb 11, 10:28 PMJan 1, 8:59 PM

62.8%chance

493

OptionVotes

NO

YES

316

287

Achieve 1000Mana profit on Bitcoin related markets

Feb 29, 2:19 PM

00

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