OptionProbability
Bond will be a man
Gunplay
Bond drives a car
On screen fatalities
London will appear on screen
Urban scene
Bond wears a suit/tuxedo
Car chase scene
Female and/or BIPOC director and/or producer
Bond tells ≥1 joke
A vessel is shown on screen containing any of the following: ketchup, mustard, wasabi, soy sauce, hot sauce, beer, wine, whiskey, cologne, or sulfuric acid.
A named character speaks in a language other than English
Bond introduces himself as "Bond, James Bond"
Bond drinks a martini
Opening action sequence
The Tower of London, Big Ben, Buckingham Palace, Wembley, or Heathrow appears on screen.
Gun Barrel Sequence
Bond will attend a gala, soirée, ball, banquet, masquerade, black-tie event, cocktail party, fundraiser, awards ceremony, premiere, reception, or a charity auction.
Sex scene
World capital other than London appears on screen
Hacking electronics of some form
Q appears
Runtime of at least 2 hours/120 minutes.
Bond solves ≥ 1 problem non-violently
Bond uses explosives
The plot will be predominantly set in present day
Bond disarms someone with a melee weapon using martial arts
The film features a scene at a UNESCO World Heritage Site.
Someone in the movie says the title
Fatal-if-missed aerial jump
A Bird (Avian) Will Appear Onscreen for >2 Seconds
Bond will shoot an inanimate object on purpose.
Asia will appear on screen
Someone goes through a pane of glass
A named character is a double (or triple, etc.) agent
It will feature ≥1 actor that was part of No Time to Die
It will gross more worldwide than No Time to Die ($774M)
The main theme song will be sung by a female
There will be a scene with wagering, gambling or betting
"King" or "Queen" of England mentioned
Bond is on vacation (is shown somewhere for enjoyment, without purpose for his mission)
@HenriThunberg enjoys the film
The villain is played by an actor who had a lead or recurring role on a prestigious television series that aired on either AMC or HBO.
South America, Africa, or Australia will appear on screen
The words "James Bond will return" appear on screen during or after the credits.
Bond rides a motorcycle
A single large explosion occurs on screen at the same time as Bond, and he doesn't look at it
>=85 on Tomatometer 1 month after US release
Critics will say it's a return to classic bond
A sniper rifle is fired
Bond will have a hot, young, American sidekick
At least a portion filmed in Canada
A scene shows James Bond naked
Blue-eyed Bond
Bond wields a Walther PPK
Interracial sex scene
Pegasus, Phoenix, Griffin, Unicorn, Kraken, Minotaur, Medusa, Cyclops, Sphinx, Kitsune, Chimera, or Thunderbird (any visual representation)
Jungle / forest scene
M will be played by Ralph Fiennes
Bond flys an aircraft
James Bond disobeys orders from MI6 or the British government
Bond attends a soccer match, cricket game, rugby match, boxing/MMA fight, tennis match, e-sport event, the Olympics, a carnival or fair, the opera, or a horse race.
Bond smokes a cigarette/cigar
Bond parachutes
It passes the Bechdel test (two named women talk the each other about anything besides a man)
Bond wears shorts
Bond pays for something by leaving money on a table and walking off without the recipient of the money present
>=7.5 on IMDB 1 month after US release
Arctic scene
Someone uses a euphemism to order a killing
Death of a Bond love interest
Bond gets slapped
Bond plays craps, roulette, or blackjack
The villain will use or work in the field of artificial intelligence.
Prison/jail scene
A jet ski or snowmobile gets airborne
Black market trafficking
Someone climbs around on the outside of a building
Released in 2028
The main character will order a “Vodka Martini, shaken, not stirred” using that exact phrase.
Bond licks something
Bond and a pond shown on screen together
Main villain has a visible physical defect (scar, handicap, missing limb, ...)
someone combs or brushes their hair (or the hair of another person)
Bond in bondage (not necessarily sexual)
Bond slaps someone
Actor who plays Bond at least 6' (183 cm) tall
James Bond talks to a woman while playing a card game.
A Gulf kingdom will appear on screen (e.g. Dubai)
Bond puts something phallic-shaped in his mouth
Bond is violent toward a woman (e.g. painful pulling, slap, throat grip...)
There will be a voiced character that is an AI
Bond rides a bicycle
Torture
Bond receives a gunshot wound
A visible countdown clock, which if it reaches zero something bad happens
Wilhelm scream
The title will refer to life and/or death
@brunoparga correctly guesses a pun beforehand
Bond drives a boat
A safe is cracked (any means possible)
Someone is shot with a tranquilizer dart or other nonlethal incapacitating projectile (getting wounded with a potentially lethal weapon doesn't count)
James Bond plays poker
Bond commits arson
Nazis (neo- counts)
Cryptocurrency is referenced
Oral sex
Tom Hardy, Cillian Murphy, or Zendaya appear on screen
Martini and a bikini shown on screen at the same time
Terrorists
US premier date is moved forward at least once (has to be numbered date, "summer 2026" doesn't count)
Climate change/global warming is explicitly mentioned
Someone carries a gun disassembled in a nondescript case
Someone speaks a verbal password phrase to verify their identity, gain access to a location, etc.
Actor who plays Bond is a US citizen
A pandemic or biological warfare will be a central plot
Desert scene
The ending pitches a next movie (continued story, introduction of villain, venegance, ...)
Ski chase scene
Drug use
Someone/something is x-rayed
Thunderstorm
Dessert scene
An actor who previous played a Bond villain appears (as either a new or recurring character)
President of the United States is mentioned
IF the main villain has a pet that plays a significant role in the plot, this pet is a horse...
Robots
Bond complains about the quality of an alcoholic beverage
Bond throws food, darts, or a Molotov cocktail
It refers to the transition between two British monarchs (Elizabeth, Charles and/or others)
Bond has facial hair
There will be a promotional event in Fortnite
Moscow, Kyiv, or Paris shown on screen
Bond wears a mask
Cocaine or caviar appears on screen
James Bond plays baccarat
Scene with Bond wearing a hat and sunglasses
Theme song is performed by Taylor Swift
Bond plays golf, tennis, or croquet
Bond will be in a submarine
Bond goes to space
Bond is LQBTQ+
Bond rides an animal
James games (Bond plays any video game, table top board game, or role-playing game) *chess counts, casino games don't
Rolex, Aston Martin, Bollinger Champaign product placements (all three)
Main villain speaks Russian on screen
Bond has a disability
Bond claims to have retired / quit from the world of espionage
Theme song will be performed by a band (more than one artist. Duran Duran did it, so there is precedent.)
Mexico is shown on screen
Jetpack
The movie will be set during the Cold War (1947-1991)
A previous Bond actor appears (as either a new or recurring character)
Revealed that "James Bond" has always been a code name.
Trans character - explicity stated they are trans, no ambiguity (must be on screen for min. 7 seconds and say at least 3 words)
An EMP device plays a central role.
At least one named character below 18 years old
Features a shot with someone lowering a newspaper, magazine or book, revealing they had been surreptitiously spying on someone
Canada is shown on screen
Sharks
Orgy
fight featuring at least one of: viper, mongoose, someone with one of those as their code name
Will feature something that can turn invisible
A pinball machine will appear.
Someone asks for payment in "small, unmarked bills" or "negotiable bearer bonds" (wording need not be exact)
Underwater combat
The word "fuck" is said more than once.
With all this speculation about which kinds of sex acts will be shown, I'm surprised nobody has said it yet, so I'll say it: 𝕓𝕠𝕟𝕕𝕒𝕘𝕖
Bond beds a "lady of the night" (ie. He fucks a prostitute)
The main villain has a pet that plays a significant role in the plot.
Bond is blond
Pirates
Assplay
Emilia Clarke portrays a character
Bond won't be Caucasian
A hamburger appears on screen
Bond uses a VR headset
Desert dessert scene (e.g. eating an ice cream in the Sahara)
Bond has a neck tattoo
Nuclear explosion
Someone uses the word "clip" to refer to a magazine
Satanism
Aaron Taylor-Johnson plays Bond
Bond plays Russian roulette
It will be described as featuring AI, such as claims that is uses “AI actors”, as reported by entertainment media.
Gay sex scene
ChatGPT is referenced by any character
Party and play (PnP), also known as chemsex, scene
Bond has a mustache (no other facial hair)
A character has the codename "Fat Rascal"
Theme song is performed by The Weeknd
San Francisco is shown on screen
Pegging
Another character coincidentally has the first name "James" or surname "Bond" (or both)
Horse cock on screen (flaccid)
Bond consumes more than 1.5 loads of jizz
A clocks shows the time 4:20
Feature Nightcore music
Supernatural entities
Prediction markets, origami, or the word "manifold" appear in the movie.
There will be a character codenamed "Fat Rascal" and they will be played by an American
Bond uses chopsticks
Released in 2026
Any character says the word "anime"
Vampires
Bond vapes
The main character will order a “café mocha, double double” using that exact phrase.
Bond dies
The fourth wall is broken
Scat play
Bond does depraved sexual acts for money (e.g., bukakke, public gang bangs, period play, etc.)
Contains a joke or indirect reference to the "last night I Bond Burgered your sister" meme
Horse cock on screen (erect)
Bond will say the line about snakes on a plane, but only as a metaphor (with snakes representing penises and the plane being his ass).
The handkerchief code is a major plot element
James Bond will say, "I'm rational, rationalussy."
Bond is vegan
It will be directed by a woman
Bond plays League of Legends
Destiny appears on screen
Bond says, “Enough is enough! I have had it with these motherfucking snakes on this motherfucking plane!”
Dragons
Dinosaurs
It will be directed by Christopher Nolan
Bond hits the griddy
98
98
97
95
94
93
92
91
90
90
90
90
87
86
85
85
84
84
83
83
82
82
81
80
77
76
75
72
70
70
69
69
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68
68
67
66
65
65
62
62
60
58
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34
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32
32
32
32
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32
32
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30
30
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28
28
28
28
27
27
27
26
26
25
25
25
24
23
23
23
23
22
22
22
22
22
21
21
21
21
20
20
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
17
17
17
17
16
16
16
15
15
15
15
15
15
14
14
14
13
13
13
13
13
12
12
12
11
11
10
10
10
10
10
9
9
8
8
8
8
8
8
7
7
7
7
6
6
6
6
5
5
5
5
5
5
4
4
4
4
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
OptionProbability
Denis Villeneuve
Gina Prince-Blythewood
Steve McQueen
Christopher Nolan
Edward Berger
Matthew Vaughn
Greta Gerwig
Emerald Fennell
Martin Campbell
Danny Boyle
Cary Fukunaga
Steven Spielberg
Chad Stahelski
Christopher McQuarrie
Chloé Zhao
Joseph Kosinski
Matt Reeves
Quentin Tarantino
Paul Greengrass
J.J. Abrams
Kathryn Bigelow
Park Chan-wook
Jordan Peele
Yann Demange
Alex Garland
Guillermo del Toro
Olivia Wilde
Robert Eggers
Lynne Ramsay
Guy Ritchie
Alfonso Cuarón
Other
99
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionVotes
YES
NO
4502
705
OptionProbability
Other
Jack Lowden
Harris Dickinson
Aaron Taylor-Johnson
Jacob Elordi
Theo James
Henry Cavill
James Norton
Tom Holland
Aaron Pierre
Paddy Gibson
Damson Idris
Tom Hardy
Daryl McCormack
Sam Claflin
Paapa Essiedu
Robert Pattinson
Regé-Jean Page
Cillian Murphy
Charlie Hunnam
Dev Patel
27
23
13
9
7
3
3
3
3
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
An Aston Martin
Aston Martin DB Series
A car also capable of driving itself
A Land Rover
A convertible car
A motorcyle
An unpowered parachute
A motorboat
Off-road vehicle
Any rover (Range, Land, Mars, moon, etc.)
Aston Martin Lagonda
A helicopter
A jet aircraft
A penis shaped car
An electric scooter (e.g. bird/lime)
A drone/quadcopter
A sailboat
A BMW
Aston Martin Valhalla
Aston Martin Valkyrie
Aston Martin Vantage
A hang glider, wingsuit, or other unpowered gliding aircraft.
A Sea-Doo/JetSki
A zipline
A glider/sailplane
An excavator
A combustion scooter (e.g. vespa)
A taxi cab
An EMS vehicle (police car, ambulance, fire truck)
A kidnapper van
A litter/sedan chair
A race car specifically designed for racing like F1 or Nascar
A train
A Pedal bicycle
A Semi-Truck
A tank
A fixed wing single-engine aircraft
A tilt-rotor aircraft
A hydrofoil
A gyrocopter
A bus
A pair of skis
A toboggan
A hot air balloon
A golf cart
A Lada
A wheelchair
A submarine
A jetpack
A beast of burden
A Bentley
A Rolls-Royce
A vehicle integrated into footwear, such as heelys or jet boots.
A motherfucking plane full of moterfucking snakes
A spacecraft
A snowmobile
A blimp
A bulldozer
A mech
A tow truck
A Segway
A rickshaw
A chariot
piggyback ride
A Zamboni
A hyperloop capsule
A unicycle
A SpaceX Starship
A push scooter (e.g. Razor)
A Tesla
House with balloons attached to it (like the movie Up)
A pedal-powered duck boat
Cybertruck
A hoverboard
A trike
A Zorb
The Oscar Mayer Wienermobile
A penny-farthing
91
77
51
44
41
40
40
34
33
32
28
27
26
26
23
23
22
22
22
22
22
21
20
20
20
20
19
19
18
17
17
17
16
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
14
14
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13
13
13
13
13
12
12
11
11
10
10
10
10
9
9
9
9
9
8
8
8
7
7
6
6
6
5
5
4
4
3
OptionProbability
[With five or more methods]
With their bare hands
With a weapon that the victim brought to the fight.
With a gadget or other ingenious device from Q
Other
With a hand gun
In the dark
With a long arm (a firearm larger than a pistol).
With a Walther PP or PPK handgun
By causing a structural collapse under them.
Slap
Drowning them
By pushing them off something high up
Sideswiping them with a car
Choking them
Silently, but deadly
With a named MMA submission (e.g., rear-naked choke, arm bar, kimura lock, etc.)
With a knife
Dropping something heavy on them
With electricity
By driving over them in a car
Biting
With a Kalashnikov Rifle (e.g. AK47)
Flambé /Fire
hurts someone's feelings (character in question must state this)
With a timed explosive device
By opening a hatch/airlock
With poison
Drone strike
With his cock (like a fighting Rooster; get yer minds outta that gutter)
Electrocution / With electricity
With a power tool normally used for construction
Lures them into a booby-trapped room
By calling in artillery or missile strike
Arranging for them to be attacked by an animal
With a piece of sporting equipment
Sonic weapon
With a chain
Flying/jump/drop kick
With a grenade
With a flamethrower
Punch to the groin
With a lazer based weapon
With a missle
Friendly fire (Bond unintentionally injures an ally)
With nanobots
Ejector seat
Big stick
With a sling shot
Crashing a plane into them
With a harpoon gun
With a crossbow
By pushing them into a spinning blade
By shaking them, not stirring them
By riding over them with a motorcycle
Killing them with kindness
Non-knife kitchen utensil
By running into them with a submarine
Rape
With microwaves
With a motherfucking snake on a motherfucking plane
Causing them to crash into a wall by painting a tunnel onto it
Piano where hitting a certain note causes it to explode but Bond plays the song incorrectly and then the villain shows him how to play it correctly
93
92
87
86
82
80
74
68
66
56
56
54
54
54
54
52
48
44
44
41
40
40
38
38
38
36
33
32
31
29
28
28
27
27
26
26
25
25
25
24
24
23
22
22
22
21
20
19
19
18
16
16
15
13
12
11
11
10
10
9
8
7
2
OptionProbability
Other
Jack Lowden
Harris Dickinson
Tom Holland
Aaron Taylor-Johnson
Jacob Elordi
Theo James
Henry Cavil
Idris Elba
Tom Hardy
Tom Hiddleston
Cillian Murphy
Paul Mescal
Pierce Brosnan
30
26
13
9
8
8
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
Kissing
Puts his hand on the small of a woman's back (does not have to be romantic/sexual touch)
Flirts with Moneypenny
Sex is implied but not shown (e.g. Kissing, then fading to black and then waking up in bed together)
Cuddling
Hugging
Kisses (or more) with multiple partners (not necessarily at once)
Committing a crime together
Romantic dinner
Holding hands
Missionary
Say or be told "I love you" (Any language)
Massage
Multiple partners (at once)
Oral
Spanking (receive or give)
Gay sex
Anal
Oral (giving)
Oral (receiving)
Pegging
Double Anal Penetration
97
88
81
80
70
65
61
61
51
45
39
33
28
13
11
10
9
8
7
7
6
6
OptionProbability
Jack Lowden
Other
Harris Dickinson
Nicholas Hoult
Aaron Taylor-Johnson
Tom Holland
Jacob Elordi
Henry Cavill
Theo James
James Norton
Aaron Pierre
Callum Turner
Sam C. Wilson
Scott Rose-Marsh
Tom Hardy
Cillian Murphy
Michael Fassbender
Tom Hiddleston
Josh O‘Connor
23
17
15
9
8
8
6
3
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
OptionProbability
Wilful killing
Destroying or seizing the enemy's property unless such destruction or seizure be imperatively demanded by the necessities of war;
Wilfully causing great suffering, or serious injury to body or health;
Killing or wounding treacherously individuals belonging to the hostile nation or army;
Intentionally launching an attack in the knowledge that such attack will cause incidental loss of life or injury to civilians or damage to civilian objects or widespread, long-term and severe damage to the natural environment which would...
Unlawful deportation or transfer or unlawful confinement;
Utilizing the presence of a civilian or other protected person to render certain points, areas or military forces immune from military operations;
Employing weapons, projectiles and material and methods of warfare which are of a nature to cause superfluous injury or unnecessary suffering or which are inherently indiscriminate in violation of the international law of armed conflict...
Employing bullets which expand or flatten easily in the human body, such as bullets with a hard envelope which does not entirely cover the core or is pierced with incisions;
Extensive destruction and appropriation of property, not justified by military necessity and carried out unlawfully and wantonly;
Intentionally directing attacks against personnel, installations, material, units or vehicles involved in a humanitarian assistance or peacekeeping mission in accordance with the Charter of the United Nations, ...
Compelling the nationals of the hostile party to take part in the operations of war directed against their own country, even if they were in the belligerent's service before the commencement of the war;
Committing outrages upon personal dignity, in particular humiliating and degrading treatment;
Employing poison or poisoned weapons;
Intentionally directing attacks against the civilian population as such or against individual civilians not taking direct part in hostilities;
Wilfully depriving a prisoner of war or other protected person of the rights of fair and regular trial;
Taking of hostages.
Intentionally directing attacks against civilian objects, that is, objects which are not military objectives;
Killing or wounding a combatant who, having laid down his arms or having no longer means of defence, has surrendered at discretion;
Pillaging a town or place, even when taken by assault;
Torture or inhuman treatment, including biological experiments;
Intentionally directing attacks against buildings dedicated to religion, education, art, science or charitable purposes, historic monuments, hospitals and places where the sick and wounded are collected, provided they are not military...
Employing asphyxiating, poisonous or other gases, and all analogous liquids, materials or devices;
Declaring that no quarter will be given;
Making improper use of a flag of truce, of the flag or of the military insignia and uniform of the enemy or of the United Nations, as well as of the distinctive emblems of the Geneva Conventions, resulting in death or serious personal...
Compelling a prisoner of war or other protected person to serve in the forces of a hostile Power;
Declaring abolished, suspended or inadmissible in a court of law the rights and actions of the nationals of the hostile party;
The transfer, directly or indirectly, by the Occupying Power of parts of its own civilian population into the territory it occupies, or the deportation or transfer of all or parts of the population of the occupied territory within or ...
Subjecting persons who are in the power of an adverse party to physical mutilation or to medical or scientific experiments of any kind which are neither justified by the medical, dental or hospital treatment of the person concerned nor ...
Attacking or bombarding, by whatever means, towns, villages, dwellings or buildings which are undefended and which are not military objectives;
Intentionally directing attacks against buildings, material, medical units and transport, and personnel using the distinctive emblems of the Geneva Conventions in conformity with international law;
Intentionally using starvation of civilians as a method of warfare by depriving them of objects indispensable to their survival, including wilfully impeding relief supplies as provided for under the Geneva Conventions;
Committing rape, sexual slavery, enforced prostitution, forced pregnancy, as defined in article 7, paragraph 2 (f), enforced sterilization, or any other form of sexual violence also constituting a grave breach of the Geneva Conventions;
Conscripting or enlisting children under the age of fifteen years into the national armed forces or using them to participate actively in hostilities.
87
80
79
77
66
62
59
55
46
45
45
45
45
43
41
40
40
39
34
31
30
30
30
29
27
25
25
24
24
20
20
20
10
8
OptionProbability
Dua Lipa
Lady Gaga
Raye
Lana Del Rey
Other
Teddy Swims
Olivia Rodrigo
Billie Eilish
Harry Styles
SZA
None
Ed Sheeran
28
22
18
8
6
4
4
3
3
2
2
2
OptionVotes
NO
YES
125
41