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Top stories

Air Force Reverses Stance, Grants Military Honors to Ashli Babbitt

US Domestic Policy

Air Force Reverses Stance, Grants Military Honors to Ashli Babbitt

Authors

33

8 months ago

Prediction markets for Jan

Will Elon Musk be worth more than $1 Trillion by Jan 1st, 2029?

Dec 17, 9:13 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

83.56%chance

401889011

OptionVotes

NO

YES

225780

44099

Will SpaceX's Starship Superheavy launch vehicle reach 500 total successful launches by Jan 1st 2030?

Apr 25, 3:04 AMDec 31, 2:00 PM

9.23%chance

121233554

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2831

991

Will Trump pardon Luigi Mangione prior to Jan 20, 2029?

Jan 26, 3:07 AMFeb 22, 7:59 AM

1.09%chance

57154918

OptionVotes

YES

NO

117972

4177

Will Donald Trump or Joe Biden die before Jan 2028?

Jul 27, 7:08 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

33%chance

14646825

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1413

678

Will OpenAI hint at or claim to have AGI by Jan 1, 2030? (1000M Subsidy)

Jul 5, 9:04 PMJan 1, 3:59 AM

71.33%chance

9339766

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2508

1931

🇧🇷 President in Jan 2027 is Lula, or whoever he endorses / Lula ou seu indicado é presidente em janeiro de 2027

Sep 24, 9:28 AMOct 3, 2:59 PM

38.27%chance

6939358

OptionVotes

YES

NO

63161

40169

Will Vanguard bring a Bitcoin ETF to market before Jan 1 2030?

Jan 11, 6:45 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

32.79%chance

10433498

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1594

1007

Resolves YES on Jan 1 2029

Jun 14, 4:57 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

99%chance

3124357

OptionVotes

NO

YES

9950

101

Will Tesla have more autonomous vehicles providing ridehailing than Waymo on Jan 2nd 2027

Jun 25, 10:30 AMJan 2, 11:59 PM

25%chance

8723464

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1733

578

Will the war in Ukraine still be ongoing on Jan 1 2030?

May 14, 1:21 AMJan 1, 6:00 AM

16.71%chance

9714405

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1823

1082

Will Elon Musk be worth more than $2 Trillion before Jan 1st, 2030?

Feb 4, 12:25 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

41.39%chance

203382

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1190

840

"Donald Trump US president at any point between Jan 21, 2029, and Jan 20, 2033?"

Apr 1, 4:08 AMJan 20, 11:59 PM

18%chance

151065

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3344

2399

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