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Top stories

France and Germany Deepen Defence Ties With Missile Warning Pact

Authors

3

3 months ago

Prediction markets for Jewel

Louvre robbers apprehended before Christmas?

Oct 19, 6:40 PMDec 24, 11:59 PM

98.12%chance

412172727

OptionVotes

NO

YES

7227

138

Louvre robbers apprehended before US Government shutdown ends?

Oct 25, 8:41 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

98.89%chance

2914528

OptionVotes

NO

YES

9448

106

Will Louvre stolen jewelry be recovered in 2025?

Oct 21, 4:03 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5%chance

273040

OptionVotes

YES

NO

436

23

At least one main perpetrator of October 2025 Louvre heist arrested by 2026 ?

Oct 20, 5:06 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

98.96%chance

272839

OptionVotes

NO

YES

975

10

Louvre thief caught by EOY 2025?

Oct 21, 2:27 AMJan 1, 12:00 AM

98.54%chance

251943

OptionVotes

NO

YES

821

12

What is the One Piece?

Jul 10, 8:52 PMAug 9, 6:51 PM

241720

OptionProbability

None of the options submitted before the One Piece is revealed

Binks' Sake

Other

A Poneglyph

A single piece of currency (e.g. one coin)

An ancient tool which might not technically be a weapon.

The friends they made along the way

A giant pile of gold and jewels

An ancient weapon

Pineapples

A text, not written on a poneglyph

68

22

4

3

2

1

0

0

0

0

0

Jewelry Bonney Stock

Jun 5, 5:18 PMJun 5, 6:29 PM

171149

OptionProbability

NO

YES

339

193

Will the UK return the Kohinoor Diamond to India before 2030?

Apr 30, 1:33 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

21.17%chance

18785

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1256

910

Netflix announces project about October 2025 Louvre heist before 2027?

Oct 20, 5:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

41.94%chance

15752

OptionVotes

YES

NO

118

85

Any of the UK Crown Jewels is stolen or destroyed or lost through 2031

Aug 31, 4:58 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

19.57%chance

3146

OptionVotes

YES

NO

113

70

Any of the Iranian National Jewels is stolen or destroyed or lost through 2031

Aug 31, 4:55 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

36.94%chance

273

OptionVotes

YES

NO

96

83

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